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Personal Finance

Will Social Security run out? Smart ways to plan for retirement

A new report moves up the clock on when Social Security reserves will run out.

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The financial future of the nearly 70 million Americans who receive Social Security benefits remains in question as the fund that pays beneficiaries is now projected to become insolvent within six years.

In testimony on March 25, Congressional Budget Office (CBO) analyst Molly Dahl told the Senate Budget Committee that the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund would be exhausted in 2032. Without congressional action, Dahl added, retirees, their spouses, children and survivors of deceased workers could see a 28% reduction in benefits in the years following.

Released last June, the 2025 Social Security Trustees Report forecast that the OASI would be depleted one year later, in 2033, resulting in an estimated 23% reduction in scheduled benefits.

Preventing any shortfall will likely involve trimming benefits, raising the eligibility age or increasing the Social Security payroll tax.

How Social Security works

Social Security is funded through payroll deductions, with workers and employers each contributing 6.2%. (Self-employed individuals pay the entire 12.4% themselves.)

In 2026, the maximum amount of earnings subject to Social Security tax rose to $184,500, up from $176,100 in 2025.

When you contribute to Social Security, the money doesn't go directly into your account: It goes into a fund that pays for current retirees' benefits.

For every dollar you pay, 85 cents goes towards the OASI Trust Fund, which pays retirement and survivor benefits. The remaining 15 cents goes into the Disability Insurance (DI) Trust Fund, for disabled workers and their families.

While it's intended to supplement retirement savings, more than a quarter (27%) of recipients said their entire income comes from their benefits checks, according to the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.

Changes to Social Security benefits and revenue sources need to come from Congress. There are different strategies, but most involve one or more of the following:

  • Cutting Social Security benefits
  • Increasing the payroll tax (or the income limit)
  • Increasing the age at which taxpayers can claim benefits

The last time Social Security faced a reserve deficit was in 1983. Bipartisan legislation increased the full retirement age from 65 to 67 and instituted an income tax on Social Security benefits.

The Social Security cost-of-living adjustment (COLA)

In addition to meeting its current obligations, the Social Security fund must also account for the annual cost-of-living adjustment (COLA), which modifies recipients' payments to reflect inflation.

The adjustment is based on the change in the Labor Department's Consumer Price Index from the third quarter of the prior year to the third quarter of the current year.

The COLA for 2026 was 2.8%, increasing benefit checks by an average of about $56 per month.

Beyond Social Security: How to save for retirement

According to AARP, Social Security is only designed to replace approximately 40% of your paycheck. To supplement that, experts recommend setting aside 10% to 15% of each paycheck for retirement savings. If that's not feasible, you can start small and increase contributions over time.

401(k) plan

A 401(k is a retirement investment account sponsored by an employer. Contributions are tax-deferred, so they can lower your taxable income the year they're made and give you more to invest. If your company matches 401(k) contributions, maxing out your contributions should be your priority. Many employers will match between 2% and 6% of an employee's annual salary. 

IRA

An individual Retirement account (IRA) is another investment option, but it's not connected to your employer and typically has more options.

Like a 401(k), a traditional IRA is tax-deferred, and contributions can be tax-deductible. Funds in the account grow tax-free, but withdrawals are subject to income tax when you take distributions. We tapped Charles Schwab and Betterment as two of the best IRAs.

A Roth IRA is an after-tax account, so you don't have to pay taxes on your gains later. Ally Invest and Wealthfront rank among the best options for Roth IRAs.

There are also robo-advisor services that can build a portfolio for you based on your risk tolerance and time horizon and rebalance as you get closer to retirement. CNBC Select's top picks for robo-advisors include E-Trade and SoFi Invest®.

E*TRADE

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SoFi Invest®

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Annuities

If you're worried about outliving your retirement savings, an annuity can also offer guaranteed income for a set period or even for life. Athene and Gainbridge are two of CNBC Select's picks for the best annuity companies.

Worried about outliving your retirement savings? Annuities can help.

Offers in this section are from affiliate partners and selected based on a combination of engagement, product relevance, compensation, and consistent availability.

Social Security FAQs

As of April 2026, the average Social Security monthly check for retired workers was about $2,081. The average for all Social Security beneficiaries, including survivors and those with disabilities, is approximately $1,933. 

According to analysts at the Congressional Budget Office, without congressional action, the Social Security trust fund will be depleted in 2032. At that point, recipients would only be able to receive 72% of their full benefits. The 2025 Social Security trustees report forecast the fund would become insolvent one year later, in 2033.

Full Social Security benefits are available at age 67. You can start collecting benefits as early as 62, but the amount will be lower. If you turn 62 in 2026, for example, your benefit would be about 30% lower than if you waited until you turned 67.

You can receive Social Security retirement benefits and work full-time. If you are younger than the full retirement age of 67 and earn more than the yearly earnings limit, however, your benefits will be reduced. 

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Why trust CNBC Select?

At CNBC Select, our mission is to provide our readers with high-quality service journalism and comprehensive consumer advice so they can make informed financial decisions. Every retirement article is based on rigorous reporting by our team of expert writers and editors with extensive knowledge of retirement savings products. While CNBC Select earns a commission from affiliate partners on many offers and links, we create all our content without input from our commercial team or any outside third parties, and we pride ourselves on our journalistic standards and ethics.

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Editorial Note: Opinions, analyses, reviews or recommendations expressed in this article are those of the Select editorial staff’s alone, and have not been reviewed, approved or otherwise endorsed by any third party.
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