Saving for retirement can seem daunting, especially when you have no idea where to start. But the 4% rule, a popular guideline used to determine how much you can comfortably spend each year from your retirement savings, can actually provide some clues for how much money you'll need to retire and what you need to do to get there.
"The definition of the word 'retire' is actually 'to remove yourself from a situation,' but in reality, retiring is actually starting a new chapter of your life," says Scott Meyer, a wealth manager and partner at Merit Financial Advisors. "It's not about leaving the workforce; it's about starting a new chapter, and it's important to think about what that new chapter will look like and how you can put a monetary value behind it."
According to Meyer, the 4% rule is a great place to start thinking about our retirement savings. Here's what you need to know.
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What is the 4% rule for retirement?
The 4% rule states that you should be able to comfortably live off of 4% of your money in investments in your first year of retirement, then slightly increase or decrease that amount to account for inflation each subsequent year. Based on historical data, living off of just 4% will allow you to use your retirement portfolio to cover expenses for 30 years.
How does the 4% rule work?
"The 4% rule first became popular in the mid-'90s," Meyer says. [Research] "found that if you withdrew 4% each year in retirement, there would actually be a high probability that your money would outlast you in retirement."
Over the years, some financial planners have re-evaluated the 4% practice due to the possibility of lower Social Security distributions in the future and the concern that retirees will need to make their savings last a little longer. As a result, at one point many financial planners believed that 3.3% was a more comfortable amount to withdraw each year.
As of 2022, research from Morningstar suggests that 3.8% is a comfortable withdrawal rate for a retirement spanning a 30-year time horizon.
"Because the 4% rule is so popular, it has been challenged for decades because it's such a widely used measure that people want to make sure it's still accurate and relevant," Meyer says. "The argument for why that number should be higher or lower depends on the environment you're in, the environment of the future market and the future economy. How long we live also has a big impact on how much we'll need. As a result, there are arguments that we should be withdrawing less each year because we're living longer and will need more money."
The 4% rule and the updated 3.8% rule are actually rules of thumb for how you should spend money in retirement, not explicitly how to save for it. However, having an idea of how much money you're going to spend in your non-working years can help you work backward to figure out how much you'll need to have saved up in the first place.
How do you work backward using the 4% rule?
"There is a quote that says you should 'begin with the end in mind,'" Meyer says. "So you should determine how much you're going to need to spend each year in retirement and use that 4% rule of thumb to figure out how much money you'll need to last you throughout retirement."
To figure out how much money you need to save before you can retire, you'll want to first estimate how much money you'll spend each year in retirement. To do this, you should consider the following costs as a jumping-off point:
- Rent or mortgage
- Healthcare and long-term care costs
- Annual cost of groceries
- Annual cost of medication
- Transportation costs (whether that's car payments and maintenance or public transportation expenses)
- Amount you plan to spend on travel each year
- Pet expenses
This is not an exhaustive list, as everyone's expenses will be different, especially when you consider what kind of lifestyle you want in retirement. Getting into the habit of tracking where your money goes now can go a long way when it comes time to evaluate your spending closer to retirement.
There are many ways you can do this but apps like Empower make it simple to view and categorize your expenses. Empower syncs to your bank accounts, credit cards and investment accounts to help you create a budget, track your spending and even track your net worth.
Empower
Cost
App is free, but users have option to add investment management services for a fee
Standout features
A budgeting app and investment tool that tracks both your spending and your wealth
Categorizes your expenses
Yes, but users can modify
Links to accounts
Yes, bank and credit cards, as well as IRAs, 401(k)s, mortgages and loans
Availability
Offered in both the App Store (for iOS) and on Google Play (for Android)
Security features
Data encryption, fraud protection and strong user authentication
Terms apply.
Additionally, you can use the above spending categories as a way to begin thinking about some of the costs that will need to be covered in retirement. And one cost Meyer believes people shouldn't underestimate is health care.
"Most people are concerned about expenses regarding health care, so it's important to understand the premium costs and out-of-pocket costs of health care in retirement," Meyer explains. "And alongside this, people are concerned about long-term care costs for when they can no longer care for themselves. It can get very expensive if not managed right."
Once you add up all your potential costs per year, you might also want to account for some discretionary spending money for any other expenses that may pop up — this could mean tacking on an additional $5,000 to the total you just calculated, for instance. Let's say you estimate your potential annual spending will be $40,000; with an additional $5,000 as a cushion, you'll be spending about $45,000 a year in retirement.
Next, you should consider approximately how much of that money you'll be receiving through federal benefits like Social Security. The Social Security Administration has an online benefits calculator that lets you estimate how much you might receive in social security based on your income now and when you hope to retire.
Let's say you expect to receive around $20,000 a year through Social Security distributions. This means that instead of withdrawing $45,000 from your retirement savings each year, you'll only need the difference between $45,000 and $20,000, which will be $25,000.
Now that you know how much money will need to come out of your retirement savings each year, you can use the 4% rule to figure out the total amount you'll need to have saved up before you enter retirement. Simply take $25,000 and divide it by 0.04 to get $625,000. In other words, $625,000 will last you 30 years if you only withdraw $25,000 (4%) a year. And if you want to go by the updated 3.3% rule, you'd divide $25,000 by 0.033 to get $757,575.
How can you start saving for retirement?
Knowing how much money you'll need to have saved up before you enter retirement can help give you an idea of how much you should be putting away right now in order to reach that goal.
Once you use the above steps to calculate the total amount you'll need for retirement, you can head to the Investor.org Savings Goal Calculator to input your values.
Let's say you want to save $625,000 for retirement, and you have an initial investment of $1,000. If you're currently 30, and you want to retire at 65, you have 35 years to invest your money before you start making withdrawals. If you decide to make fairly aggressive investments in index funds and stocks, for example, which yield a hypothetical annual return of 9% — according to the Savings Goal Calculator, you'll need to invest $233.56 each month for 35 years in order to have $625,000 saved up for retirement.
You can follow these same steps for any other retirement goal number and for any rate of return or length of time.
Once you know how much you need to save now, it's time to start putting it into practice. There are many different retirement savings vehicles out there and, in fact, you may already be using one through your employer: a 401(k).
With a 401(k), you can set up your account so a percentage of your paycheck is automatically invested for you each pay period. And since the money being invested is pre-tax, you'll owe taxes on the amount you withdraw in retirement. A traditional IRA works the same way, except it is not a company-sponsored account so you will have to set up the account yourself.
With these pre-tax savings vehicles, you'll also want to account for paying taxes on your withdrawals in retirement. It's best to speak with a financial advisor or tax professional for specifics as they pertain to you.
However, if you've been saving money through a post-tax retirement account — like a Roth IRA or Roth 401(k) — you won't need to account for taxes when you make withdrawals in retirement. With these accounts, you're investing post-tax money (money that has already been taxed) so those contributions will grow over the years and you won't owe any taxes on withdrawals.
Not all companies offer the option to invest in a Roth 401(k), however, anyone can open up a Roth IRA simply by creating an account through a brokerage like Fidelity or Charles Schwab (it takes just a few minutes to create and fund your account with a linked bank account). And once you open and fund your account, you'll need to pick your investments.
Fidelity
Fees/commissions
$0 for stocks, ETFs, options and some mutual funds
Account minimum
$0
Investment options
Stocks, bonds, fractional shares, ETFs, mutual funds, options
Pros
- Some ETFs don’t have expense ratios
- Mobile app is easy to use
- No commissions on many types of securities
Cons
- No futures or forex trading
- High fees for broker assisted trades
Charles Schwab
Minimum deposit and balance
Minimum deposit and balance requirements may vary depending on the investment vehicle selected. No account minimum for active investing through Schwab One® Brokerage Account. Automated investing through Schwab Intelligent Portfolios® requires a $5,000 minimum deposit
Fees
Fees may vary depending on the investment vehicle selected. Schwab One® Brokerage Account has no account fees, $0 commission fees for stock and ETF trades, $0 transaction fees for over 4,000 mutual funds and a $0.65 fee per options contract
Bonus
None
Investment vehicles
Robo-advisor: Schwab Intelligent Portfolios® and Schwab Intelligent Portfolios Premium™ IRA: Charles Schwab Traditional, Roth, Rollover, Inherited and Custodial IRAs; plus, a Personal Choice Retirement Account® (PCRA) Brokerage and trading: Schwab One® Brokerage Account, Brokerage Account + Specialized Platforms and Support for Trading, Schwab Global Account™, Schwab Organization Account and Schwab Trading Powered by Ameritrade™
Investment options
Stocks, bonds, mutual funds, CDs and ETFs
Educational resources
Extensive retirement planning tools
Terms apply.
If you want a more hands-off approach, you might consider using an app like Wealthfront or Betterment, which use robo-advisors to pick the investments that best suit your goals based on things like risk tolerance and how long you have until retirement. These services recommend stock-and-bond allocations based on your goals and adjust automatically whenever you make a deposit, withdraw funds or change your target.
Wealthfront
Minimum deposit and balance
Minimum deposit and balance requirements may vary depending on the investment vehicle selected. $500 minimum deposit for investment accounts
Fees
Fees may vary depending on the investment vehicle selected. Zero account, transfer, trading or commission fees (fund ratios may apply). Wealthfront annual management advisory fee is 0.25% of your account balance
Bonus
None
Investment vehicles
Investment options
Stocks, bonds, ETFs and cash. Additional asset classes to your portfolio include real estate, natural resources and dividend stocks
Educational resources
Offers free financial planning for college planning, retirement and homebuying
Terms apply.
Betterment
Minimum deposit and balance
Minimum deposit and balance requirements may vary depending on the investment vehicle selected. For example, Betterment doesn't require clients to maintain a minimum investment account balance, but there is a ACH deposit minimum of $10. Premium Investing requires a $100,000 minimum balance.
Fees
Fees may vary depending on the investment vehicle selected, account balances, etc. Click here for details.
Investment vehicles
Robo-advisor: Betterment Digital Investing IRA: Betterment Traditional, Roth and SEP IRAs 401(k): Betterment 401(k) for employers
Investment options
Stocks, bonds, ETFs and cash
Educational resources
Betterment offers retirement and other education materials
Terms apply. Does not apply to crypto asset portfolios.
If you're nearing retirement and want a low-risk option that provides easy access to your savings, consider opening a high-yield savings account. These accounts offer significantly more interest than traditional savings accounts, plus your money is still FDIC-insured for up to $250,000. Some of the best high-yield savings accounts include LendingClub LevelUp Savings and Marcus by Goldman Sachs High Yield Online Savings due to their high APRs and low fees.
LendingClub LevelUp Savings Account
Annual Percentage Yield (APY)
4.00% (with monthly deposits of $250 or more), or 3.00%
Minimum balance
None
Monthly fee
None
Maximum transactions
Excessive transactions fee
None
Overdraft fees
N/A
Offer checking account?
Yes
Offer ATM card?
Yes
Terms apply.
Marcus by Goldman Sachs High Yield Online Savings
Annual Percentage Yield (APY)
3.50% APY
Minimum balance
None
Monthly fee
None
Maximum transactions
At this time, there is no limit to the number of withdrawals or transfers you can make from your online savings account
Excessive transactions fee
None
Overdraft fee
None
Offer checking account?
No
Offer ATM card?
No
Terms apply.
FAQs
How long will your money last using the 4% rule?
The 4% rule accounts for an inflation-adjusted withdrawal each year for approximately 30 years. However, the money could potentially last a longer or shorter period of time depending on your investment returns throughout that timeframe.
Do retirement withdrawals count as income?
Withdrawals made in retirement are taxed as income if you take distributions from a traditional IRA, 401(k) or taxable brokerage account. Qualified distributions made from a Roth 401(k) or Roth IRA are not taxed.
At what age are 401(k) withdrawals penalty-free?
You can make qualified withdrawals from your 401(k) without a penalty after age 59 1/2.
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Bottom line
Thinking ahead to what your life might look like in retirement might encourage you to start taking small steps that can have a big impact over time. The 4% rule is a popular estimate for how much money you'll need to save to last 30 years in retirement.
But whether you choose to follow updated guidelines or stick with the traditional 4% rule of thumb, figuring out your retirement number is only part of the work. You'll also need to know how much money to start saving right now in order to reach that goal — which can be done through the use of online savings calculators. But once you're ready to really dive into some other specifics, you might want to seek assistance from a financial advisor.
Meet our experts
At CNBC Select, we work with experts who have specialized knowledge and authority based on relevant training and/or experience. For this story, we interviewed Scott Meyer, a wealth manager and partner at Merit Financial Advisors.
Why trust CNBC Select?
At CNBC Select, our mission is to provide our readers with high-quality service journalism and comprehensive consumer advice so they can make informed decisions with their money. Every article is based on rigorous reporting by our team of expert writers and editors with extensive knowledge of investing products. While CNBC Select earns a commission from affiliate partners on many offers and links, we create all our content without input from our commercial team or any outside third parties, and we pride ourselves on our journalistic standards and ethics.
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