Share

Dow tumbles nearly 800 points as surging oil prices raise fears about the economic toll of Iran conflict: Live updates

A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange, March 5, 2026.
Brendan McDermid | Reuters

Stocks resumed their decline Thursday after a one-day respite as concerns over the Iran war flared up again with U.S. crude topping $80 per barrel.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 784.67 points, or 1.61%, to 47,954.74. The S&P 500 fell 0.56% to 6,830.71, while the Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.26% to 22,748.99. The stock sell-off was led by Boeing, Caterpillar and other names that stand to lose the most if the global economy slows.

Oil prices jumped, with West Texas Intermediate crude futures surpassing $80 per barrel in the afternoon to hit its highest level since July 2024, after Iran said it hit an oil tanker with a missile. It settled up more than 8% at $81.01 a barrel. International benchmark Brent crude futures settled nearly 5% higher at $85.41 per barrel.

The moves in oil drove major market swings throughout the session. The 30-stock Dow fell 1,000 points at almost the very moment oil reached the $80-per-barrel threshold. The index was down more than 1,100 points, or about 2.4%, at its nadir. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq also traded near session lows after earlier moving just above the flatline at their highs of the day. They were each lower by around 1.4% at their lows.

Both WTI crude and Brent futures prices had stabilized in the prior trading day, which boosted the Dow more than 200 points on Wednesday. Still, WTI crude has advanced more than 20% this week, while Brent has risen almost 18%. Both are on pace for their biggest weekly gains since March 2022.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon
hide content
U.S. crude oil, 5-day

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Thursday that Iran is "not asking for a cease fire" from the U.S. and Israel, adding that "we don't see any reason why we should negotiate."

With increasing uncertainty surrounding the conflict, Sam Stovall of CFRA Research said that investors are now wondering if the U.S. bit off more than it can chew.

"Can [President Donald] Trump really escort all of the vessels through the [Strait of Hormuz]?" the chief investment strategist remarked. "What kind of liability are we going to be putting on ourselves, and how would that affect our debt levels? Investors are basically saying that whatever is happening now is not good."

Fears of disruption to regional oil and gas supplies had subsided after Trump said on Tuesday that the U.S. is preparing to provide risk insurance and escorts to ships in the Persian Gulf in an effort to ensure traffic can move through the Strait of Hormuz.

To be sure, the White House would not provide a timeline for when the strait, which is responsible for roughly 20% of the world's oil supply, will be safe for oil tankers.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said in a briefing with reporters on Wednesday that the U.S. is "winning decisively" in its conflict with Iran and that more forces are arriving to the region. Separately, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that Trump's recently announced 15% global tariff will likely go into effect this week.

Berkshire Hathaway was a bright spot in the trading day, gaining more than 2% after the conglomerate disclosed that it started repurchasing its own shares again for the first time since 2024. CEO Greg Abel also bought $15 million worth of stock himself.

Stocks close lower

The three leading U.S. indexes finished in the red on Thursday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average led the way, falling 784.67 points, or 1.61%, to close at 47,954.74. The S&P 500 shed 0.56% to end at 6,830.71, while the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.26% to settle at 22,748.99

— Sean Conlon

Materials and industrial stocks bear the brunt of Thursday's sell-off in latest growth scare

Basic materials makers and industrial manufacturers are bearing the brunt of the sell-off as investors wrestle with whether or not the war in the Middle East and climbing oil, natural gas, diesel and jet fuel prices will cause the economy to slow, or even lurch into a recession somewhere down the road.

The S&P 500 Materials index is lower by 2.4% Thursday, while S&P 500 Industrials are off 2.3% — the two worst performing of the benchmark index's 11 main groups. Among individual issues, Caterpillar is down 4.4%, GE Aerospace by 3.5% and 3M by 3.3%.

The Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDP Now tracker was showing 3.0% expected annual growth in the first quarter as of Monday, down a fraction from recent readings, with the next update scheduled to be released Friday.

Other economically sensitive groups are also taking it on the chin. The Dow Jones Transportation Index is lower by 2.9% while the State Street SPDR Homebuilders ETF is losing 2.7%.

— Scott Schnipper

Individual investors are the most 'neutral' on the stock outlook since Jan. 2025

Individual investors are the most "neutral" on their six-month outlook for stock prices since January 2025, according to the latest weekly poll by the American Association of Individual Investors.

Neutral sentiment jumped to 31.4% in the week ended Wednesday, up from 27.0% last week, and the highest since 34.0% in mid-January, 2025, just as President Trump was taking office for a second term.

Bullish investors were little changed in the latest survey, 33.1% this week — the fewest since late November 2025 — vs. 33.2% last week, while those describing themselves as bearish on the outlook for stocks dropped to 35.5% from 39.8% last week.

In a special question about inflation, a plurality of retail investors (38.7%) said price increases were slowing "but by not enough," while a third (33.3%) said inflation was "returning to a more acceptable pace." Almost a quarter, or 22.5%, said inflation is still rising too quickly, while the rest were unsure or had no opinion.

— Scott Schnipper

Gold falls

Gold fell Thursday alongside with the stock market, failing to prove a safe haven for investors. Spot gold was last down 1% to 5,080.86, while gold futures were last lower by 0.7% to 5,098.20.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon
hide content
Gold futures, 1-day

— Sarah Min

Small caps lead market lower

Small-cap stocks felt the brunt of Thursday's market slide.

The Russell 2000 tumbled 2.7% in afternoon trading. The S&P 500, by comparison, fell 1.3%.

Thursday's slide dragged the Russell 2000 into the red for the week.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon
hide content
Russell 2000, 1-day

— Alex Harring

Dan Niles: Spike in oil prices above $100 could lead to global recession

A jump in U.S. crude oil prices to above $100 could yield a global recession as the U.S.-Iran war continues, according to Dan Niles, founder and portfolio manager at Niles Investment Management.

To be sure, Niles does not believe that will be the likely scenario, as he expects the war to last a month.

"What we're all trying to figure out is, is this a short war? Meaning less than a month, or is it sort of medium term, which is a bigger problem, or does it last for a long time, in which case, I'm talking oil above $100, at which point you're probably gonna end up with a global recession," Niles said Thursday on CNBC's "Power Lunch."

Niles also noted that the U.S. economy and oil prices ultimately recovered after the 2022 Russia invasion of Ukraine, leading the stock market to rally about 27% that year.

Crude oil prices topped $80 on Thursday, after spiking roughly 20% this week. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a route that accounts for 20% of the world's daily oil demand, remains stuck.

— Pia Singh

Stocks making midday moves: Salesforce, Expedia, United Airlines

A Salesforce sign is displayed at their office on Feb. 25, 2026 in San Francisco, California.
Benjamin Fanjoy | Getty Images

Here are some of the stocks making the biggest moves in midday trading:

Read the full list here.

— Michelle Fox, Pia Singh

U.S. crude oil hits $80 per barrel

U.S. crude oil prices on Thursday topped $80 per barrel after Iran claimed to have attacked a tanker.

The price of West Texas Intermediate oil was last up 7.58%, or $5.66, at $80.32 per barrel by 1:21 p.m. ET. Global benchmark Brent rose 4.8%, or $3.91, to $85.31 per barrel. Read more.

— Spencer Kimball

Nvidia, AMD drop on report of proposed U.S. restrictions on global AI chip exports

A Nvidia HGX H100 server arranged at the company's headquarters in Santa Clara, California, US, on Monday, June 5, 2023.
Marlena Sloss | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Shares of Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices fell 2.6% and 3.3%, respectively, on Thursday on news that the U.S. government is looking to add major restrictions to artificial intelligence chip exports.

Bloomberg News reported, citing people familiar with the matter, that U.S. officials have proposed regulations that would require U.S. companies to seek permission for all exports of AI accelerators, expanding restrictions that currently cover around 40 countries.

Companies that are building bigger clusters would require preclearance from the U.S. government before seeking export licenses, and could have to disclose their business models or allow site visits from U.S. officials, per the report. The U.S. would only approve massive exports — such as more than 200,000 Nvidia GPUs owned by a single company — to allies that make strict security promises and "matching" investments in American AI, Bloomberg reported, citing sources.

To be sure, the report said that the proposal is not finalized and could see substantial changes.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon
hide content
Nvidia and AMD stock performance over the past year.

— Pia Singh

Software rallies for a fourth straight day

Software stocks jumped about 2% on Thursday, in its fourth straight day of gains in a week dominated by alarming headlines around the U.S.-Israel war with Iran.

The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) has gained 7% this week. By comparison, the S&P 500 is down by 1.2%.

Outperformers include Intuit and ServiceNow, which are up around 6% each. Salesforce is higher by almost 5%. Workday has gained close to 3%.

The rotation suggests investors are finding software more attractive following a punishing sell-off, in which the IGV remains 26% off its recent high.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon
hide content
IGV, 5-day

— Sarah Min

Goldman upgrades AIG

Main entrance to the American International Group (AIG) Headquarters building in Manhattan.
Erik McGregor | Lightrocket | Getty Images

Shares of AIG rose more than 1% Thursday after Goldman Sachs upgraded its rating on the stock to buy. 

The firm said it was reviewing which insurance companies they think are set to win with adopting artificial intelligence, and analyst Robert Cox said in a Thursday note AIG is one of the better positioned commercial insurers to do so. That belief partially comes from the insurer's improving return on equity, which its competitors are seeing decelerate. 

"AIG's improving ROE stems from increasing premium leverage due to recent accretive deals, in addition to further expense savings and capital deployment," Cox wrote. On the company's AI plans, he noted, "a generative AI tool is allowing AIG employees to underwrite a greater percentage of the policies submitted by brokers in certain segments."

AIG's stock is down more than 7% in 2026.

— Davis Giangiulio

Oil and gas ETF hits highest level since June 2022

The State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Expl & Prod ETF (XOP) rose more than 2% in morning trading Thursday, hitting its highest level since June 2022.

The move was led by gains in Chord Energy, Matador Resources, Phillips 66, Valero Energy and Marathon Petroleum, all of which were trading at 52-week highs.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon
hide content
XOP, 1-day

The move puts the XOP's year-to-date gains at nearly 30%.

— Sean Conlon, Gina Francolla

Airlines resume falls as oil prices rise

A Delta Airlines plane lands at Reagan National Airport in Arlington, Virginia, U.S., on Friday, Dec. 24, 2021.
Eric Lee | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Shares of major U.S. airlines were again lower Thursday as investors turned their attention again to rising oil prices and the consequences of the U.S.-Iran war. 

United Airlines and Delta Air Lines both fell more than 5%, the two worst performers on the S&P 500. Southwest Air, American Airlines, and Jetblue Airways were all down more than 4% too. 

Airline stocks fell on Monday as investors initially digested U.S. strikes on Iran, but recovered from their initial lows as the broader market recovered. Shares of the airlines are down between more than 8% and nearly 11% on the week. 

— Davis Giangiulio

Wells Fargo remains bullish on Carnival ahead of earnings, lifts price target

Wells Fargo sees upsides ahead for Carnival. 

The bank reiterated an overweight rating on Carnival and set its price target at $40 from $38 ahead of its first-quarter earnings report. This implies gains of 42% from Wednesday's close.

Analyst Trey Bowers expects the cruise line to post an earnings and guidance beat. He added that management will likely take a "measured approach with revising guidance given geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East" but that any impacts will be "transitory." The company is set to release earnings in late March.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon
hide content
CCL year-to-date chart

— Itzel Franco

Stocks open in the red

U.S. equities opened Thursday's session in negative territory.

The S&P 500 fell 0.4%, along with the Nasdaq Composite. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 398 points, or 0.8%.

— Sean Conlon

BJ's Wholesale, Trade Desk and Burlington among the stocks making premarket moves

A BJ's Wholesale Club location in Manchester, Connecticut, US, on Wednesday Aug. 14, 2024.
Joe Buglewicz | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Here are some of the names moving before the opening bell:

  • BJ's Wholesale Club — The warehouse giant lost 4% after its full-year guidance fell short of expectations. BJ's Wholesale anticipates adjusted earnings between $4.40 per share and $4.60 per share, versus the $4.66 a share consensus estimate, per FactSet. Its fourth-quarter earnings and revenue, however, beat expectations.
  • Trade Desk — Shares jumped nearly 21%% following a report from The Information that said OpenAI had early talks with Trade Desk to sell ads.
  • Burlington Stores — Shares popped 6% after the retailer delivered a beat on both the top and bottom lines for its fourth-quarter. Guidance for both the current quarter and the full-year were broadly in-line with expectations, according to FactSet, and the company said in a press release it believes there is upside for its projections.

Click here to see the full list of names.

— Michelle Fox

Productivity, labor costs up more than expected in Q4; jobless claims flat

Productivity and labor costs both increased more than expected in the fourth quarter while layoffs were little changed over the past week, according to economic data released Thursday.

Productivity, a measure of output against hours worked, increased 2.8% for the October-through-December period, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had forecast a 1.8% increase. On an annual basis, productivity also rose 2.8%.

Similarly, unit labor costs, or compensation less productivity, also posted a 2.8% again, higher than the 2% estimate. Labor costs increased 1.3% for the 12-month period.

The BLS also reported that import prices rose 0.2% in January, below the 0.3% estimate.

Elsewhere, initial filings for unemployment claims totaled 213,000 for the week ending Feb. 28, unchanged from the prior period and just below the estimate for 215,000, the Labor Department said. Continuing claims, which run a week behind, increased by 46,000 to 1.87 million.

— Jeff Cox

Buy the dip in the Nikkei in light of recent volatilty, Citi says

The turbulence seen in global markets amid the U.S.-Iran war is providing an opportunity for investors, according to Citi.

"We have maintained that geopolitics is usually a fade, as oil spikes can be very large, but are usually short lived. And the day oil peaks, risk markets usually bottom," Dirk Willer, global head of macro strategy and asset allocation, wrote in a note dated Wednesday.

With the CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index above 70, Willer believes the latest spike in oil prices is "mature," adding that now is the time to buy the dip in Japan's Nikkei 225. The index closed up 1.9% on Thursday after suffering losses earlier in the week. The index has risen almost 10% year to date.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon
hide content
Nikkei 225, 5-day

"We choose Nikkei, because the volatility risk premium framework triggered and has a good track record," he wrote.

— Sean Conlon

Planned layoffs post sharp decline for February, Challenger says.

Continuing a trend in the labor market, both planned layoffs and hiring slumped in February, according to outplacement and coaching firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas.

In its monthly tracking of activity at large U.S. employers, Challenger said companies announced 48,307 job cuts during the month, a 55% drop from January and a 72% decrease from the same month a year ago. Of the cuts, technology accounted for the biggest share, with a 51% increase from February 2025. Artificial intelligence was cited as the driver for 10% of the reductions.

On the hiring side, plans jumped 140% from the low January total but were off 63% from February 2025. Year-to-date hiring plans are down 56% from the same period a year ago.

— Jeff Cox

Berkshire Hathaway resumes repurchasing shares

Berkshire Hathaway CEO Greg Abel speaking on CNBC's Squawk Box on March 5th, 2026.
CNBC

Berkshire Hathaway said Thursday it has resumed repurchasing its own shares for the first time since 2024 and separately new CEO Greg Abel purchased $15 million worth of stock himself.

The Omaha-based conglomerate disclosed in a regulatory filing that it began buying back its Class A and Class B shares on Wednesday. Berkshire's policy allows the company to repurchase stock whenever the chief executive, after consultation with the chairman of the board i.e. Warren Buffett, believes that the repurchase price is below Berkshire's intrinsic value, according to its annual report released over the weekend.

"I absolutely talked to Warren. So how I approached it was, obviously looking at the value, having a view of intrinsic value, consulted with Warren relative to the value and the timing," Abel told CNBC's "Squawk Box" on Thursday. Read more.

— Yun Li

Oil prices tick higher

Oil prices ticked higher once again on Thursday as traders continued to monitor the latest developments out of the Middle East. West Texas Intermediate futures popped 2.5% to $76.56 per barrel. Brent crude traded 2% higher at $83.03 per barrel.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon
hide content
WTI 5-day chart

— Fred Imbert

European markets open lower as Iran war unsettles traders

People look on as smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the U.S. launched strikes on Iran, amid the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 2, 2026.
Majid Asgaripour | Via Reuters

European stocks were in the red again on Thursday as market participants followed geopolitical developments in the Middle East.

The pan-European Stoxx 600 was 0.4% lower shortly after the opening bell. London's FTSE 100 was down 0.3%, Germany's DAX shed roughly 0.6%, and France's CAC 40 was 0.5% lower. Spain's IBEX was down 0.4% at the open. All major sectors except Oil & Gas, Utilities, and Food & Beverages were in negative territory.

Spanish stocks will be watched closely today as Madrid is in trouble with U.S. President Donald Trump for refusing to allow U.S. forces to use its bases for strikes on Iran. "Spain has been terrible," Trump said on Tuesday. "We're going to cut off all trade with Spain. We don't want anything to do with Spain."

Read the full story here.

— Sawdah Bhaimiya, Holly Ellyatt

South Korea’s Kospi rebounds to clock its best day since 2008, soaring 10%

South Korea's Kospi jumped as much as 12% on Thursday, staging a sharp rebound from its worst session, and on course to clock its best day, data from LSEG showed.

The index subsequently pared gains, rising 9.6% to 5,583.9, with heavyweights SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics surging more than 10% and 11%, respectively.

The small-cap Kosdaq closed 14.1% higher at 1,116.41.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon
hide content
Year-to-date performance of South Korean shares

Australia's S&P/ASX 200 gained 0.44% to ending the trading day at 8,940.3.

Japan's Nikkei 225 rose 1.9%, closing at 55,278.06.

Hong Kong Hang Seng index was up 0.35%, while the CSI 300 rose 0.98% to 4,647.69 after China on Thursday set its GDP growth target for 2026 at 4.5% to 5%, the lowest target on record going back to early 1990s, as Beijing grapples with persistent deflationary pressures and trade tensions with the U.S.

— Lee Ying Shan

South Korea’s Kospi stages a sharp rebound, surging 10%, on course for best day since 2008

A currency dealer looks at the work report in front of an electronic screen showing South Korea's benchmark stock index (KOSPI) in a foreign exchange dealing room at the Hana Bank headquarters on March 05, 2026 in Seoul, South Korea.
Han Myung-Gu | Getty Images

South Korea's Kospi jumped as much as 12% on Thursday, staging a sharp rebound from its worst session, and on course to clock its best day, data from LSEG showed.

The index subsequently pared some gains to trade nearly 10% higher.

Other Asia-Pacific markets also jumped Thursday, rebounding after several days of steep losses as sentiment improved following overnight gains on Wall Street and easing concerns over surging oil prices.

Australia's S&P/ASX 200 traded 0.1% higher.

Japan's Nikkei 225 rose 2.7%, after sliding 3% in the previous session.

Hong Kong Hang Seng index is up over 1%, while the CSI 300 rose 0.86%.

Taiwan's benchmark index Taiex jumped more than 4%.

— Lee Ying Shan

Nvidia CEO Huang says company's $30 billion OpenAI investment ‘might be the last’

Jensen Huang, chief executive officer of Nvidia Corp., speaks during the 2026 CES event in Las Vegas, Nevada, US, on Tuesday, Jan. 6, 2026.
Bridget Bennett | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said the company's recent $30 billion investment in OpenAI "might be the last time" it invests in the artificial intelligence startup before it could go public toward the end of the year.

Huang said the opportunity to invest $100 billion in OpenAI, which was the figure that the two companies touted as part of a massive infrastructure deal in September, is probably "not in the cards." "The reason for that is because they're going to go public," Huang said during the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference on Wednesday.

He also mentioned that Nvidia's $10 billion investment in OpenAI rival Anthropic would likely be its last. Nvidia previously shared its plans to invest in Anthropic in an announcement alongside Microsoft in November. Read more.

— Ashley Capoot

Okta, Broadcom, StubHub among stocks moving in extended trading

Check out the companies making headlines in after-hours trading:

  • Okta — Okta beat Wall Street's fourth-quarter expectations, leading shares of the identity security provider to add about 2%. Okta reported adjusted earnings of 90 cents per share on $761 million in revenue, exceeding analysts' estimate of 85 cents per share in earnings and $749 million in revenue for the period, per LSEG.
  • Broadcom — Shares of the heavyweight chipmaker flitted between gains and losses in the extended session. Broadcom reported strong results for its fiscal first quarter, posting revenue that grew 29% year over year. The company's adjusted earnings per share of $2.05 and revenue of $19.31 billion came out higher than analysts' expectations of $2.03 per share in earnings and $19.18 billion in revenue, per LSEG. Revenue guidance for the current quarter also surpassed estimates.
  • StubHub — Shares of the secondary ticketing marketplace tumbled 6%. Fourth quarter revenue of $449 million fell short of the LSEG consensus estimate of $484 million. The company's adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization came in at $62.7 million, roughly in line with estimates.

For the full list, read here.

— Pia Singh

U.S. stock futures open little changed Wednesday evening

Futures-options traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange's NYSE American (AMEX) in New York City, U.S., February 11, 2026.
Brendan McDermid | Reuters

Shortly after 6 p.m. ET on Wednesday, futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures each gained less than 0.1%. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 22 points, or less than 0.1%.

— Pia Singh