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Dow rebounds nearly 600 points, S&P 500 claws back more than half of Friday's rout as Trump softens China stance

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on Oct. 13, 2025, in New York City.
Spencer Platt | Getty Images

Stocks surged on Monday, rebounding from Friday's sell-off after President Donald Trump said trade relations with China "will all be fine."

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 587.98 points, or 1.29%, to 46,067.58, which equates to 67% of its Friday loss. The S&P 500 climbed 1.56% to finish at 6,654.72, retracing 56% of its prior decline. The Nasdaq Composite popped 2.21% to settle at 22,694.61 as beat-down technology stocks led the bounce.

Oracle rallied more than 5%, while Nvidia rose close to 3%. Broadcom surged almost 10% after making its partnership with OpenAI official on Monday morning.

Those moves come after Trump's Truth Social post on Sunday suggested to investors the president may not follow through on his threat to post a "massive increase of tariffs" on China. That comment on Friday brought the U.S. trade war with China back to the fore, and sent stocks tumbling in a rout that wiped out $2 trillion in market value.

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S&P 500, 5-day

"Don't worry about China, it will all be fine! Highly respected President Xi just had a bad moment. He doesn't want Depression for his country, and neither do I," Trump wrote. "The U.S.A. wants to help China, not hurt it."

Vice President JD Vance echoed those sentiments over the weekend. He told Fox News that the U.S. will negotiate if Beijing is "willing to be reasonable," though he added that the U.S. has "far more cards" if not.

"The underlying tensions and uncertainty remain, and we still don't think an all-encompassing deal is anywhere close, but this tamps down concerns about the risk of 100% tariffs or disruptive export controls while talks continue," said Tobin Marcus, head of U.S. policy at Wolfe Research. "Trump seems to be telling investors they can safely buy the dip, and given their track record this year of doing so even when it seemed risky, we expect markets will accept this invitation."

Broad market recovery

All three major averages ended last week in the red. The S&P 500's drop on Friday alone was its largest since April, when the stock market was still reeling from the shock of Trump's initial tariff announcement.

But the recent statements appeared to entice investors back to the market after Friday's sell-off, especially in technology names that got hit with the worst of the selling. Many tech companies rely on rare earths from China for the manufacture of semiconductors and electric vehicles, among other goods.

Nearly four out of every five S&P 500 components traded higher on Monday, signaling a broad-based recovery. Small-cap stocks also joined in, with the Russell 2000 jumping 2.8% after finishing Friday down 3%.

Despite Monday morning's bounce, the market is facing other concerns. The government shutdown is stretching into a new week as a major payrolls deadline looms on Oct. 15.

Earnings season kicks off this week. Citigroup, Goldman Sachs Group, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Morgan Stanley are due out with their results Tuesday and Wednesday. Several regional banks are also set to post their quarterly results.

The bond market was closed Monday due to the Columbus Day holiday.

Stocks end higher

Stocks finished Monday's session in the green.

The Dow rallied 1.3%, while the S&P 500 gained 1.6%. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 2.2%.

— Alex Harring

UBS says pullbacks linked to U.S.-China trade war offer opportunities for investors to 'consider adding long-term exposure' to equities

The U.S.-China trade war may continue rattling stocks but is unlikely to precipitate a bear market, offering investors opportunities to snap up U.S. equities at discounts, according to UBS.

"We think that the bull market will remain intact, so pullbacks should offer an opportunity for investors who are under allocated to equities to consider adding long-term exposure," UBS analysts said Monday in a note to clients.

Stocks slumped on Friday, shortly after U.S. President Trump vowed to impose "massive tariffs" on China and canceled his meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping in response to the nation's restriction of rare earths exports to the U.S. The announcement erased $2 trillion from the stock market, with the S&P 500 plummeting 2.7% by Friday's close.

Xi and Trump are slated to meet at the APEC on Oct. 31 — an event that could serve to defuse trade tensions, UBS analysts noted, adding that a full-scale trade war "still looks unlikely."

— Liz Napolitano

Progress Software rises after Citi upgrade

Citi is more sanguine about Progress Software Corporation.

The bank upgraded the stock to buy from neutral and increased its target price to $57.00 from $44.65. Citi's new target implies nearly 28% upside from Friday's close.

Despite shareholder perception that Progress Software is losing out to AI, Citi believes its "stable and reliable profile is unique, which against stable demand and execution dynamics offers a compelling risk/reward."

Shares were up 3.5% following the upgrade.

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PRGS 5-day chart

— Itzel Franco

15 stocks in the S&P 500 trade at new 52-week lows

Tyson frozen chicken products are displayed in a freezer at a Target store on November 12, 2024 in Novato, California.
Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

On Monday, 15 stocks in the S&P 500 traded at new 52-week lows.

Stocks that hit this milestone included:

On the other hand, CVS Health traded at a new 52-week high, while shares of Martin Marietta rose to a new all-time record.

— Christopher Hayes, Lisa Kailai Han

Crypto rebounds after traders suffered record liquidations on Trump's tariff threats

Cryptocurrency prices rebounded Monday, after digital asset traders suffered the worst liquidation event ever tracked by crypto-native analytics firm CoinGlass.

More than $19 billion in leveraged crypto positions were unwound in a 24-hour period, beginning on Friday, affecting 1,618,240 traders, CoinGlass data shows. Bitcoin and ether were roughly trading as much as 8% and 15% lower on the day, respectively.

The crypto carnage came after U.S. President Donald Trump said Friday in a Truth Social post that he would implement "massive tariffs" on China and cancel his upcoming meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping. The comments hammered stocks, erasing $2 trillion from the equities market by Friday's close.

Digital assets' market capitalization is nearly $4 trillion as of writing time, up 1.3% over the past 24 hours, according to CoinGecko data.  

— Liz Napolitano

'The bark will be way worse than bite,' Ives says

President Donald Trump's threats should be stronger than any actual policy changes when all is said and done, according to prominent technology analyst Dan Ives.

"We believe the bark will be way worse than bite here," Wedbush's Ives wrote to clients in a Sunday note.

Ives said Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping should still meet in the next few weeks despite Trump saying there was no longer reason to. Ives said the market overhang tied to Trump's Nov. 1 tariff date should "ultimately be removed."

The analyst noted that tech stocks led the sell-off and helped bring the market "back to the dark days of April," when Trump's tariff policy caused major declines.

— Alex Harring

Macao casino stocks are suffering after a soft Golden Week

The new Wynn Casino and Lisboa Casino in Macao, China.
Bob Henry | Universal Images Group | Getty Images

Casino stocks with exposure to the Macao market were trading lower after poor results during Golden Week holiday. Although visitation to the area was slightly higher than last year, travelers may have been more keen to catch a basketball game or a concert than play the baccarat tables.

Melco Resorts & Entertainment shares were down 2%, while Las Vegas Sands tumbled 5% and Wynn shares fell 3%.

It's worth noting that MGM Resorts shares were bucking the trend with a nearly 2% gain as only about a quarter of the company's business comes from the region.

—Christina Cheddar Berk, Contessa Brewer

Philadelphia Fed's Paulson sees cuts this year, but less certain road further beyond

Anna Paulson appears in this handout photo, as the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia names her as next president and CEO, in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S., June 16, 2025.
Philadelphia Fed | Via Reuters

Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Anna Paulson, in her first public remarks since taking the position, said she expects tariff-related price increases to be temporary and sees more interest rate cuts this year.

In remarks delivered at the National Association for Business Economics in Philadelphia, Paulson noted the success the central bank has had in anchoring longer-term inflation expectations.

"My base case is that tariffs will increase the price level, but they won't leave a lasting imprint on inflation," she said. "And, given this base case, monetary policy should look through tariff effects on prices."

The comments come a little more than two weeks ahead of the Fed's next policy meeting, at which it is widely expected to approve another quarter percentage point rate reduction. Paulson noted that she approved of the September cut and is in line with updated projections at that meeting showing the likelihood of two more moves by the end of the year.

However, she said the path further down the road is less certain and advocates moving "cautiously." Paulson, who took over in June for Patrick Harker, will be a voter in 2026 on the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee.

"The ability to go slowly and assess is particularly valuable as we get closer to neutral," Paulson said. "We will be better positioned to go slowly in the future if we adjust policy in the near term in a way that better aligns labor market and inflation risks."

—Jeff Cox

See the stocks making big moves midday Monday

Pedestrians walk by a sign in front of a Broadcom office on December 12, 2024 in San Jose, California.
Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

These are some of the stocks making moves in midday trading:

Read more here.

— Scott Schnipper

S&P retail ETF bounces back, on pace for best day since July 22

The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) was last trading nearly 3% higher on Monday, putting the exchange-traded fund on pace for its best day since July 22.

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XRT 6M chart

The ETF, which includes many China-exposed retailers, fell 3.12% on Friday in its worst daily performance since April 8.

The ETF is down 4% on the month, putting its 5-month winning streak in jeopardy. The fund is now trading below its 50-day moving average.

— Tom Rotunno, Lisa Kailai Han

Consumer staple stocks sit out of rally

Cans of Monster Beverage Corporation energy drinks fill a store's shelves in Miami, Florida, on April 16, 2025.
Joe Raedle | Getty Images

Consumer staples stocks restricted gains for the S&P 500 on Monday.

The sector slipped 0.6% in midday trading. It was the only of the 11 that comprise the broad index heading for losses.

Monster Beverage and Altria Group led the sector down with slides of more than 2.5% each. On the other hand, Estee Lauder and Dollar Tree mitigated losses as the stocks rose more than 5% and 4%, respectively.

— Alex Harring

Howard Marks isn't calling the AI boom a bubble

Howard Marks, known for his memos on market cycles and investor psychology, said while enthusiasm for AI stocks is undeniable, it hasn't yet crossed into the realm of mania that defines a true bubble.

"My response to date has been that the valuations are ... high but not crazy" the Oaktree Capital Management co-founder said Monday. "Expensive and going down tomorrow are not synonymous."

Marks believes that investor optimism doesn't automatically signal irrational exuberance.

"To me, the main ingredient in bubbles is psychological excess ... some kind of temporary mania," he said. "For a company in this sector or industry, there's no such thing as a price too high. And I don't detect that level of mania at this time, so I have not put the bubble label on this incident.... it just hasn't reached that critical mass of mania."

— Yun Li

Intel, Texas Instruments downgraded by Bank of America

The Intel logo is displayed on a sign in front of Intel headquarters on July 16, 2025 in Santa Clara, California.
Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

Intel and Texas Instruments both got hit with downgrades by Bank of America.

Analyst Vivek Arya lowered both stocks to underperform from neutral. Texas Instruments has limited exposure to the ongoing artificial-intelligence capital expenditure spending cycle, he noted.

"While we continue to appreciate the high quality of TXN's assets and its execution consistency, we believe the turmoil caused by global tariffs could keep the lid on any near/medium-term demand improvement in the industrial economy," he wrote.

For Intel, Arya said its recent $80 billion jump in market cap more than reflects its improved balance sheet.

"Meanwhile INTC's competitive outlook remains challenged with no discernible AI portfolio/strategy, uncompetitive server CPU, and less flexibility now vs. before in divesting loss-making manufacturing, in our view," he said.

— Michelle Fox

Information technology stocks head for best day since May

Information technology stocks led the S&P 500 higher on Monday. The sector rose more than 2.5% in morning trading, on track for its biggest one-day gain since May.

Broadcom led the group higher with a 10% jump, followed by Monolithic Power with a surge of nearly 8%. With a slide of almost 1%, VeriSign was among the handful of laggards restricting gains

This morning's rally follows a 4% drop in Friday's session, which marked its worst day going back to April.

— Alex Harring

Silver is close to eclipsing the 1980 high, without adjusting for inflation

Silver bars are stacked in the safe deposit boxes room of the Pro Aurum gold house in Munich, Germany, Jan. 10, 2025.
Angelika Warmuth | Reuters

Silver futures closed in on a new nominal all-time high on Monday and were on the verge of eclipsing the unadjusted-for-inflation peak of $50.35 an ounce from January, 1980. The poor man's gold touched $50.095 an ounce in futures markets.

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iShares Silver Trust ETF in 2025

Adjusted for inflation, however, silver would need to reach $209.67 an ounce to equal the prior high dating from the days of double-digit inflation, Paul Volcker and Margaret Thatcher.

The Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL) jumped almost 6% Monday, reaching its highest level since 2012.

— Scott Schnipper, Gina Francolla

Stocks open higher

Stocks opened in the green, putting the market on track to regain ground after Friday's selloff.

The Dow rose 0.8% shortly after 9:30 a.m. ET. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite jumped 1.2% and 1.7%.

Small caps also joined in the rally, with the Russell 2000 rising 1.8%.

— Alex Harring

Broadcom rallies after officially announcing OpenAI partnership

A sign is posted in front of a Broadcom office in San Jose, California, on Dec. 12, 2024.
Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

Broadcom jumped more than 12% before the bell on Monday after making its partnership with OpenAI official.

The companies said they are jointly building and deploying 10 gigawatts of custom artificial intelligence accelerators. They didn't disclose financial terms of the deal.

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Broadcom shares, 1-day

— Alex Harring, MacKenzie Sigalos

Market can rally with Trump's China comments walked back, Woods says

U.S. President Donald Trump gestures as he boards Air Force One en route to Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt, to attend a world leaders' summit on ending the Gaza war, amid a U.S.-brokered prisoner-hostage swap and ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas, at Ben Gurion International Airport in Lod, Israel, October 13, 2025.
Evelyn Hockstein | Reuters

Investors got their latest example of the "TACO" trade, according to Jay Woods, chief market strategist at Freedom Capital Markets.

Some market participants have bet on the idea that President Donald Trump "always chickens out" since his return to the White House this year. That appeared to work out once again with his threats to China over rare earth exports later watered down online, Woods said.

"Many speculated that this threat would also be one that the President would back away from, and by Sunday afternoon, we got a post suggesting there was progress," Woods said. "This should set the market up for a great Monday bounce with the comments seemingly walked back."

— Alex Harring

Stocks making the biggest moves premarket

Here are some of the companies making headlines before the bell: 

  • Warner Bros. Discovery  —The HBO and CNN cable network owner rallied more than 4% after Bloomberg News reported WBD had rejected Paramount Skydance's proposed buyout of roughly $20 a share, and that the suitor could respond with a higher offer, make a hostile bid or find a partner.
  • Shake Shack — The burger chain added 2% on the back of Jefferies' upgrade to hold from underperform. Jefferies said the risk-reward ratio is more balanced following a recent slide in shares.
  • Estee Lauder — The maker of Clinique and Origins cosmetics popped 4% after Goldman Sachs upgraded the stock to buy. The bank also called for 30% upside in Estee Lauder, noting the stock is nearing a fundamental inflection point.
  • StubHub — The online ticket platform advanced about 5% after bullish initiations of research coverage at several Wall Street following its September 17 initial public offering.

See the full list here.

— Yun Li

JPMorgan rises on $10 billion investment plan announcement

JPMorgan shares ticked 1% higher before the bell on Monday after the bank announced a decade-long plan for financing and taking stakes in companies deemed critical to national security.

The bank said it would invest as much as $10 billion into firms that focus on themes like defense and aerospace or energy technology. It's part of a bigger effort JPMorgan is calling the Security and Resiliency Initiative.

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JPMorgan, 1-day

— Alex Harring, Hugh Son

Bloom Energy soars on Brookfield deal

Bloom Energy logo (Photo Illustration by Thomas Fuller/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)
Sopa Images | Lightrocket | Getty Images

Bloom Energy shares skyrocketed more than 25% in Monday's premarket after inking an artificial intelligence-related deal with Brookfield.

As part of the deal, Brookfield will spend as much as $5 billion to deploy Bloom Energy's fuel cells for AI data centers. Bloom's fuel cells provide onsite power that can be activated quickly because they don't rely on the electric grid.

Bloom is on track to record its best day since November, when the stock surged nearly 60% in one session.

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Bloom Energy, 1-day

— Alex Harring, Spencer Kimball

All living hostages in Gaza released, Trump says 'nightmare over'

Former hostage Guy Gilboa-Dalal waves to supporters outside Beilinson Hospital in the Rabin Medical Centre on October 13, 2025 in Petah Tikva, Israel.
Dima Vazinovich | Getty Images

President Donald Trump told Israel's parliament on Monday that "the long and painful nightmare is finally over" as the 20 surviving hostages in Gaza were released and are returning to Israel.

Some 28 more hostages' remains will be released to be laid to rest, he said in the speech.

"After so many years of unceasing war and endless danger, today the skies are calm, the guns are silent, the sirens are still and the sun rises on a holy land that is finally at peace," Trump said.

— Michelle Fox

Rare earth stocks soar

A mining truck takes ore from the open-pit mine at the MP Materials rare earth mine in Mountain Pass, California, U.S. January 30, 2020. Picture taken January 30, 2020.
Steve Marcus | Reuters

U.S.-based rare earth miners jumped in early trading Monday after President Donald Trump escalated threats to China over its strict export controls.

USA Rare Earth and Critical Metals each surged around 18%. Energy Fuels jumped more than 11%, which MP Materials rallied about 8%.

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USA Rare Earth and Critical Metals shares, 1-day

— Alex Harring, Spencer Kimball

Small cap stocks regain ground

Small cap stocks joined the market's rebound in Monday premarket trading.

The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) rose 1.4% before the bell. The fund tumbled more than 3% on Friday, notching its worst session since April.

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iShares Russell 2000 ETF, 1-day

— Alex Harring

Tech stocks rebound after Friday's sell-off

Tech stocks led the way higher on Monday, recovering some of the losses suffered during Friday's sell-off. AMD and Nvidia were 3.7% and 2.9%, respectively. Oracle climbed 1.5%. The Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) traded 2.1% higher in the premarket.

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XLK 5-day chart

— Fred Imbert

JPMorgan Chase to invest $10 billion into areas critical to national security

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon speaking with CNBC's Leslie Picker in Charlotte, N.C. on July 31st, 2025.
David A. Grogan | CNBC

Banking giant JPMorgan Chase said Monday it is launching a 10-year plan to finance and take stakes in companies it deems critical to U.S. national security.

The bank said it would invest up $10 billion into companies in defense and aerospace, tech such as AI and quantum computing, energy tech such as batteries and supply chain and advanced manufacturing.

"It has become painfully clear that the United States has allowed itself to become too reliant on unreliable sources of critical minerals, products and manufacturing – all of which are essential for our national security," JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon said in the release.

Read the full story here.

— Hugh Son

Earnings kicks off this week with the big banks

Earnings season kicks off this week with the big banks, which could give the stock market the reassurance it needs for the next leg higher. The group should have plenty of good news to report, thanks to a rebound in the capital markets, and a huge resurgence in dealmaking activity.

The financials sector in the S&P 500 is expected to report a blended earnings growth rate of 12.9%, the fourth biggest contributor to quarterly earnings growth behind information technology, utilities and materials, according to FactSet data on Friday. Meanwhile, the overall index is set to post a blended earnings growth rate of 8.1%.

Citigroup, Goldman Sachs Group, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase report on Tuesday. Bank of America and Morgan Stanley are due out with their results Wednesday. A succession of regional banks are also set to report.

— Sarah Min

Trump says 'Don't worry about China' in latest Truth Social post

U.S. President Donald Trump on Sunday put up another Truth Social post that appeared to ease investor concerns regarding rising U.S.-China trade tensions. It comes after another post on Friday that sent the stock market tumbling in a major rout. The S&P 500 saw its worst day going back to April.

"Don't worry about China, it will all be fine! Highly respected President Xi just had a bad moment. He doesn't want Depression for his country, and neither do I," Trump wrote on Truth Social. "The U.S.A. wants to help China, not hurt it!!!"

— Sarah Min

Stock futures open higher Sunday night

Stock futures opened higher on Sunday night.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose by 323 points, or 0.7%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures climbed 0.9% and 1%, respectively.

— Sarah Min