Share

Stocks fall for a second day, but close off session lows as oil surge eases: Live updates

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange at the opening bell on March 18, 2026.
Angela Weiss | Afp | Getty Images

U.S. equities pared losses on Thursday, while oil prices pulled back as Wall Street watched for more developments in the Iran war.

The S&P 500 fell 0.27% and closed at 6,606.49, while the Nasdaq Composite slid 0.28% to end at 22,090.69. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 203.72 points, or 0.44%, and settled at 46,021.43. The indexes had made a comeback from session lows, when the Dow was down almost 500 points, or about 1.1%, and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq had fallen around 1% and 1.4%, respectively.

It was the second consecutive losing day for all three major averages.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures settled down about 0.2% at $96.14 a barrel. Brent crude futures, the international benchmark, advanced roughly 1.2% to settle at $108.65 per barrel, its highest close since July 2022.

Oil prices eased in post-settle trading as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu spoke to the media, saying that Israel was helping the U.S. "in intel and other means" to open the Strait of Hormuz. Netanyahu also said that Iran had lost the ability to enrich uranium and make ballistic missiles and that the war may end sooner than people think.

International oil prices had spiked earlier on the heels of Iran on Wednesday striking a key liquefied natural gas, or LNG, export facility in Qatar. That was in retaliation for Israel attacking Iran's South Pars gas field.

President Donald Trump warned that if more facilities in Qatar were attacked, the U.S. would "massively blow up the entirety of the South Pars Gas Field."

"The core dilemma of the entire situation remains the same: The U.S. and Israel have 'won' the war in a conventional sense, but there doesn't seem to be a military solution for reopening Hormuz absent the deployment of ground troops, which means the waterway isn't likely to return to normal without some type a diplomatic settlement (and it doesn't appear at the moment like much effort is being put into achieving one)," said Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge.

With traffic in the key Strait of Hormuz passageway largely at a standstill, the leaders of the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and Japan expressed in a joint statement Thursday their "readiness to contribute to appropriate efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait."

"For the first couple of weeks of the war, people thought, 'Okay, this is terrible. How can you not have the Strait open. This is going to cause major supply disruptions.' But there was always this belief that, 'It's going to end very soon. It's going to end any day. This is not sustainable,'" Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at One Point BFG Wealth Partners, said to CNBC.

Now, as the conflict approaches its fourth week, the current circumstances have left investors thinking, "Well, maybe this doesn't end so fast, and even when it does, we're certainly not going back to levels in commodity prices prior to the beginning of the war," he continued. "There's no way, in my opinion, that oil is going back to $65 a barrel."

Besides the worries surrounding oil prices, Boockvar believes the mounting concerns in both technology and private credit prior to the war will persist beyond it, meaning investors are going to have to be even "more discerning" with portfolio management moving forward, he added.

In tech, Micron Technology shares came under pressure Thursday, losing 3.8%. Citi analysts in particular attributed the move to just "some profit taking," given that a memory supply shortage helped the semiconductor company nearly triple its revenue in its most recent quarter.

Stocks close lower

The three leading U.S. indexes finished Thursday's session in the red.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 203.72 points, or 0.44%, to end at 46,021.43. The S&P 500 dropped 0.27% to 6,606.49, while the Nasdaq Composite shed 0.28% to 22,090.69.

— Sean Conlon

Fed's next move will be a rate hike, Macquarie economists say

With markets now discounting any interest rate cuts in 2026, strategists at Macquarie believe the Federal Reserve's next move will be in the opposite direction.

The firm said in notes this week both before and after the Fed meeting that it sees inflationary pressures building that will force the Fed to increase interest rates, though not immediately but rather next year.

"While the outlook is particularly uncertain in the context of the oil price spike, our base case remains that the Fed will remain on hold in coming months, with no additional cuts on the horizon," Macquarie said. "We see the next move as a hike. However, with more mixed signals from the labor market and the potential for consumer headwinds near-term from higher oil, we have now pushed out this timing to 1H27."

Macquarie economists noted a relatively close call about rates this year, with seven of 19 Federal Open Market Committee meeting participants favoring either holding rates steady or hiking. If three officials switch their views, that would put a majority of central bankers for not cutting at all this year. In any event, futures traders are pricing in no cuts this year.

— Jeff Cox

Correction: This story has been revised to reflect that markets are now discounting any interest rate cuts in 2026. A previous version misstated the year.

Retail traders run from gold but buy dip on silver

Silver bars stacked at the Perth Mint Refinery, operated by Gold Corp., in Perth, Australia, Feb. 5, 2026.
Matt Jelonek | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Retail investors dumped gold-related positions but bought the dip on silver counterparts amid Thursday's sell-off of precious metals.

The SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) saw $2.8 million net sold by everyday traders in the first two hours of Thursday's trading session, according to VandaTrack. That put the fund on track to see its biggest day for net selling since late February.

But small investors picked up more than $19 million in the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) on balance during the two-hour period, VandaTrack found. The fund is on pace to record its best day for buying since March 3.

— Alex Harring

Opening Hormuz is a top priority,' API president says

Opening the Strait of Hormuz is a "top priority" for the Trump administration, Mike Sommers, the American Petroleum Institute's president and CEO, told CNBC.

"We need to get the Strait open," Sommers said Thursday on CNBC's "Power Lunch." "There is just no substitute right now."

Sommers' comments followed a Thursday meeting hosted by API between members of the industry and White House officials including Vice President JD Vance and Energy Secretary Chris Wright.

Sommers acknowledged that U.S. consumers are feeling pain at the gas pump as the Iran war drives up crude oil prices. He said the U.S. should be focused on increase domestic production to further lower dependency on oil from the Persian Gulf.

— Alex Harring

Treasury yields and U.S. dollar buck conventional market wisdom: Charles Schwab

Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar haven't made conventional moves for a wartime envrionment, according to Charles Schwab.

Yields typically slide as Treasurys rise in these scenarios, according to a note from Charles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders and Kevin Gordon. The greenback usually retreats given the inverse relationship expected between oil — which has skyrocketed since the U.S.-Israeli strike on Iran — and the dollar.

But both are rising this time around.

Traders appear to be betting that the U.S. is insulated from the spike in oil given its role as a net exporter, the pair said. In turn, investors are jumping into the dollar.

At the same time, traders anticipate higher inflation due to energy market volatility, Sonders and Gordon said. That can lead to an increase in yields.

— Alex Harring

Rivian rises, while Uber falls on the heels of robotaxi deal announcement

A Rivian R2 electric vehicle with lidar at Rivian Automotive's offices in Palo Alto, California, Dec. 10, 2025.
Jason Henry | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Shares of Rivian Automotive and Uber Technologies traded in opposite directions in afternoon trading.

As of 2:45 p.m. ET, Rivian was up more than 1%, while Uber was lower by almost 2%.

The moves come after the companies announced that Uber is planning to invest up to $1.25 billion in Rivian as part of a deal to deploy as much as 50,000 robotaxis in a number of countries through 2031.

— Sean Conlon and Michael Wayland

Mom-and-pop investors are the most bearish since last May

Individual investor bearish sentiment jumped to the highest since last May, the month after President Trump unveiled sharply higher tariffs, according to the latest weekly poll of members belonging to the American Association of Individual Investors. Pessimistic sentiment toward the six-month outlook for stocks climbed to 52% from 46.4% last week, the most since 59.3% on May 1, 2025.

Bullish opinion slumped to 30.4% of respondents from 31.9% last week, the fewest optimists since 28% last Sept. 11.

Only 17.6% of mom-and-pop investors described themselves as neutral on the short-term market outlook, the smallest number since 16% took the same position last Sept. 18.

Contrarian investors are typically cheered by rising levels of bearishness, thinking that it means more individual investors are done selling than not and that cash has been raised that can be used later to return to stocks.

— Scott Schnipper

Russell 2000 approaches correction territory

The Russell 2000 index flirted with correction territory on Thursday.

The index dropped 0.7% in afternoon trading — which put it 10% below its 52-week high — before then paring losses a bit. It was last down 0.5%.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon
hide content
Russell 2000, 1-year

— Sean Conlon

Trump signals DOJ should continue Powell probe

President Donald Trump speaks during a meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi (not pictured) in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, March 19, 2026.
Evelyn Hockstein | Reuters

President Donald Trump on Thursday signaled his continued support for a Department of Justice investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell — a stance that could further delay the confirmation of Powell's would-be successor, Kevin Warsh.

"He's under investigation because he's building a building for hundreds of billions of dollars more than it's supposed to cost," Trump said of Powell in the Oval Office.

He was referring to ongoing renovations of the Fed's headquarters in Washington, the purported focus of the federal criminal probe of the central bank chairman led by U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro. Read more.

— Kevin Breuninger

Where the indexes stand from their 52-week highs

A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at the opening bell in New York on March 18, 2026.
Angela Weiss | Afp | Getty Images

As the sell-off continued on Thursday, the three leading U.S. indexes — along with the small-cap Russell 2000 benchmark — each drew closer to seeing a decline of at least 10% from their 52-week highs. Here's how far the indexes are below their respective records, as of midday trading:

— Sean Conlon

Wolfe warns of sentiment-driven 'de-risking loop'

In light of the concerns surrounding private markets, public markets may be more vulnerable to a shift in sentiment than to an outright wave of credit losses, according to Wolfe Research.

"Our sense is that the largest risk to public markets is less about immediate system-wide credit losses and more about a sentiment-driven news flow de-risking loop: pressure on listed alternative managers and BDCs, widening credit spreads, and tighter bank/market financing conditions if fears escalate," Wolfe Research said it a note to clients.

Markets have stepped up scrutiny of private-market valuations and liquidity after a wave of markdowns and redemption pressure across private credit and equity funds. Investors grow increasingly sensitive to signs of stress in private credit and leveraged finance, even as defaults remain relatively contained.

For Wolfe, the bigger threat is that deteriorating headlines, rather than realized losses, could drive a broader pullback in risk-taking.

— Yun Li

Traders see little chance of an interest rate cut in 2026

U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell holds a press conference following a two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), at the Federal Reserve in Washington, D.C., U.S., March 18, 2026.
Kevin Lamarque | Reuters

All of the positive economic talk out of this week's Federal Reserve meeting had a negative impact on investors, who have now taken expectations for even one interest rate cut this year off the table.

In his post-meeting news conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell took an upbeat view of current conditions, even with what he termed "zero" net job growth and inflation staying above the central bank's 2% target. Powell called economic growth "solid" and rejected any notion that stagflation was taking hold.

Though the Federal Open Market Committee statement noted "uncertainty" associated with the Iran war, Powell never addressed it directly. With hostilities escalating in the Middle East and the Fed seemingly not inclined to react, investors took a dim view of the prospects of easier monetary policy. Read more.

— Jeff Cox

'Potentially best-in-class' results from Eli Lilly's next-generation obesity drug retatrutide aren't moving the stock

A first look at data from a late-stage clinical trial for retatrutide, Eli Lilly's next-generation obesity drug, shows "potentially best-in-class" weight loss, Alexandria Hammond, an analyst at Wolfe Research, told clients. Notably, after 40 weeks on the drug, patients hadn't hit a weight loss plateau, she said. Lilly said patients had lost between 9% and 14.3% of their starting weight during that time period, depending on the dosage of the drug.

But Lilly shares were only slightly positive in trading. That may be because the bulk of patients with obesity will still use tirzepatide, the active ingredient in Mounjaro, according to Hammond. She suggested retatrutide may be prescribed to patients with higher body mass indexes.

"With that context, we see the commercial opportunity for retatrutide as more limited, and we currently forecast peak nonrisk adjusted sales of $7.8B (cons $17B)," Hammond said.

— Christina Cheddar Berk

Gold on pace for worst week since 1983

A one-kilogram gold bar and a sealed gold coin are displayed at a jewellery store, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, January 20, 2026.
Amr Alfiky | Reuters

Gold hit its lowest level since Feb. 2 on Thursday as prices continue to fall amid global inflation fears.

The metal was down about 10% week-to-date, on pace for its worst week since February 1983 when it fell more than 12%. While off its lows, Gold at the opening bell was still down around 6%

Silver was off more than 10% on the day and was pacing for its worst week since January when it fell more than 22%.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon
hide content
@GC.1 5-day chart.

Davis Giangiulio and Gina Francolla

S&P 500 moves below support level

The S&P 500 gapped below its 200-day moving average on Thursday morning, trading below that level for the first time since May 23.

The index, whose last close below that level was May 9, was last down 0.5%, trading around 6,590. Its 200-day average sits at 6,619.14.

— Nick Wells and Sean Conlon

Stocks fall to start Thursday's session

The three major averages fell on Thursday morning.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 315 points, or 0.7%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite slipped 1% and 1.3%, respectively.

— Sean Conlon

Potential $200 billion Iran war spending request could shift, Hegseth says

U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth holds a briefing with Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Dan Caine, amid the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, at the Pentagon in Washington, D.C., U.S., March 19, 2026.
Evan Vucci | Reuters

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said Thursday that the Pentagon's reported $200 billion budget request for Iran war funding "could move."

"It takes money to kill bad guys," Hegseth said at a press briefing when asked to confirm the figure, which The Washington Post first reported Wednesday evening.

"We're going back to Congress and our folks there to ensure that we're properly funded," Hegseth said. Read more.

— Kevin Breuninger

Jobless claims unexpectedly declined last week

Initial unemployment claims took another step down last week, the Labor Department reported Thursday.

First-time filings totaled just 205,000 for the week ended March 14, down 8,000 from the unrevised prior period and below the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 215,000. The move brought the four-week average down to 210,750 as the low-hire low-fire labor market statis continued.

Continuing claims, which run a week behind, increased by 10,000 to 1.857 million.

In other economic news, the Philadelphia Fed's manufacturing index unexpectedly rose to 18.1 in March on a surge in current shipments. The forecast had been for 8.4 for an index that measures the difference between companies reporting expansion against contraction.

— Jeff Cox

Takeaways from the Fed meeting this week

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell departs after speaking during a press conference following the Federal Open Markets Committee meeting at the Federal Reserve on March 18, 2026 in Washington, DC.
Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images

The Federal Reserve kept its key interest rate steady on Wednesday and adjusted its projections for the economy as well as the future path of monetary policy. Fed Chair Jerome Powell also covered a variety of topics in his post-meeting news conference.

Here are some of the top takeaways:

1. Lots of uncertainty

While no one expected the Fed to cut — much less hike — at this meeting, the market always looks for clues about what's next. Neither the post-meeting statement, the update on economic projections, nor Powell's news conference provided much in that regard. The statement saw only minor tweaks, the "dot plot" saw a modest dovish shift, and Powell used some form of "uncertain" more than half a dozen times.

2. The war is a problem

Forecasting the future and modeling policy at a time when the U.S. is at war with Iran is nearly impossible, Powell said. He faced repeated questions about the oil shock, and mostly emphasized how much it has muddied the waters for the Fed. "The thing I really want to emphasize is that nobody knows," he said. "The economic effects could be bigger, they could be smaller, they could be much smaller or much bigger. We just don't know."

To view the remaining takeaways, read more here.

— Jeff Cox

Micron Technology, Seagate Technology, Alibaba among the stocks making moves before the bell

Check out the companies making the biggest moves in premarket trading:

  • Micron Technology — Shares shed nearly 7%. Micron reported a blowout quarter, with its adjusted earnings of $12.20 per share handily topping the $9.31 consensus estimate, per LSEG. Its revenue was $23.86 billion, compared to the $20.07 billion expected from analysts. Investors may have focused on comments about increased spending to ramp up output. The stock is up more than 350% in the past 12 months.
  • Memory stocks — Several memory companies fell following Micron's earnings. Seagate Technology slipped 2.6%, Western Digital fell 3.5% and Sandisk dropped 6%.
  • Alibaba — U.S.-listed shares traded 4.5% lower in the premarket after the company reported weaker-than-expected fourth-quarter results. The e-commerce giant's top line came in at 284.8 billion yuan, below an LSEG estimate of 290.7 billion yuan. Net income, meanwhile, tumbled 66% year on year to 15.6 billion yuan.

Read here for the full list.

— Michelle Fox

Alibaba falls on revenue miss, big income drop

Jaap Arriens | Nurphoto | Getty Images

Alibaba's U.S.-listed shares traded more than 5% lower in the premarket after the company reported weaker-than-expected fourth-quarter results.

The e-commerce giant's top line came in at 284.8 billion yuan, below an LSEG estimate of 290.7 billion yuan. Net income, meanwhile, tumbled 66% year on year to 15.6 billion yuan.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon
hide content
BABA 5-day chart

— Fred Imbert

European stocks slide as Iran war intensifies

The pan-European Stoxx 600 was down 1.7% on Thursday morning, following attacks on Iranian and Qatari energy infrastructure. The continent's major bourses all slipped into the red and all sectors except for oil and gas sold off.

Basic resources was the hardest hit sector, with London-listed mining majors Antofagasta and Fresnillo each sliding more than 6%, as investors were rattled by inflation fears and surging energy prices that could squeeze margins in the sector.


— Hugh Leask

Oil and gas prices surge on rising energy shock fears

QatarEnergy's liquefied natural gas production facilities, amid the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Ras Laffan Industrial City, Qatar, March 2, 2026.
Stringer | Reuters

Oil and gas prices surged as escalating attacks in the Middle East threatened long-term damage to major energy facilities.

International benchmark Brent crude futures with May delivery rose nearly 11% to $119.11 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures advanced 3% to $99.29.

Gas prices were also sharply higher. U.S. natural gas prices jumped 5.1% to $3.22 per million British thermal units.

Meanwhile, the front-month gas price at the Dutch Title Transfer Facility (TTF) hub, a European benchmark for natural gas trading, was last seen trading 24% higher at 68.22 euros ($78.26) per megawatt-hour.

— Sam Meredith

Gold and silver sell off

Argor-Heraeus' CEO Robin Kolvenbach holds one kilo bars of silver and gold at the plant of refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus in Mendrisio, Switzerland, July 13, 2022.
Denis Balibouse | Reuters

Gold and silver joined a broad sell-off on Thursday, with the metals shedding 2% and 5.5% as fears about the Iran war and inflation gripped global markets.

At 5:36 a.m. ET, spot gold was down 2% at $4,718.60 an ounce. Front-month gold futures were down 3.8% at $4,709.90. Spot silver was 5% lower at $71.53 an ounce, while silver futures lost 7.7%, paring earlier losses to settle at $71.62. Read more.

Chloe Taylor

Asia markets dip, with Japan leading losses

Asia markets dipped on Thursday, tracking losses on Wall Street as worries over Iran persisted.

Japan's Nikkei 225 was down 2.58%, leading losses in Asia, while the broad-based Topix was 2.03% lower.

South Korea's Kospi lost 2.54%, after being the top gainer in the region on Wednesday, while the small-cap Kosdaq saw a smaller loss of 1.69%.

Chip heavyweights Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix saw losses of over 3%.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng index fell 1.62%, while the mainland Chinese CSI 300 index was 0.89% down.

Australia's S&P/ASX 200 was down 1.56%.

— Lim Hui Jie

The duration of the U.S.-Iran war remains key overhang, Barclays' Venu Krishna says

Markets have 'rightfully' grown cautious, says Barclay's Venu Krishna
VIDEO4:2704:27
Markets have 'rightfully' grown cautious, says Barclay's Venu Krishna

Investors remain optimistic that stocks can resume their upward march, given that strong corporate earnings and a resilient consumer is constructive for equities.

However, that will hinge on how long the U.S.-Iran war lasts, according to Venu Krishna, head of U.S. equity strategy at Barclays.

"The biggest uncertainty or unknown is, how long is this crisis going to last? Should it linger for much longer, then the related impact on inflation and potentially on growth is what will break the market," Krishna told CNBC's "Closing Bell: Overtime" on Wednesday. "But we are not there yet. That's not our base case. You just have to keep your fingers crossed."

— Sarah Min

Micron shares slip after latest results

Micron said revenue almost tripled in the latest quarter as results topped analysts' estimates. The stock slipped 4.6% in extended trading.

Here's how the company did relative to LSEG consensus:

  • Earnings per share: $12.20 adjusted vs. $9.31 expected
  • Revenue: $23.86 billion vs. $20.07 billion expected
Stock Chart IconStock chart icon
hide content
Micron Technology, 1-day

— Katie Tarasov and Jordan Novet

Dow closes below 200-day moving average, S&P 500 nears its own

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed below its long-term trend on Wednesday, and the S&P 500 could be next.

The Dow Industrials closed below its 200-day moving average for the first time since June 20, 2025, suggesting the underlying trend for the index is now negative.

The S&P 500 is fast approaching its own key support level, and will bear watching over the next trading session. On Wednesday, the broad market index closed just a few points above its 200-day moving average level of 6,615.70. It has not closed below that threshold since May 9, 2025.

— Sarah Min and Gina Francolla

Stock futures open little changed

Stock futures opened little changed Wednesday night.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell by 77 points, or 0.16%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 0.14% and 0.15%, respectively.

— Sarah Min