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S&P 500 closes lower Wednesday, but wraps 2025 with a 16% gain: Live updates

Trader Michael Pistillo wears "2026" glasses as he works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at the opening bell in New York on December 31, 2025.
Timothy A. Clary | Afp | Getty Images

The S&P 500 pulled back on Wednesday, though the index still closed out a bumper year.

The broad market S&P 500 dipped 0.74% and closed at 6,845.50, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.76% and ended at 23,241.99. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 303.77 points, or 0.63%, and settled at 48,063.29.

Stocks posted a four-session losing streak, although the declines were mild and the S&P 500 still locked in a 16.39% gain for the year, its third straight double-digit annual advance. The Nasdaq Composite rode AI enthusiasm to a 20.36% advance. The Dow advanced 12.97% in 2025, hindered a bit by its lack of tech representation.

That marks an impressive recovery from the rout seen in early April following President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs announcement. The S&P 500 was even on the cusp of closing in bear market territory at one point, dropping almost 19% from its February high and closing below 5,000 for the first time since April 2024.

"There were lessons learned on the part of the administration that smarter, more narrow tariffs with a gradual implementation is what the market can absorb," said Keith Buchanan, senior portfolio manager at Globalt Investments. "The market is now, because of 2025, able to look past any tariff shifts in 2026, banking on the administration remembering those lessons from 2025 and also corporate America being able to adjust on the fly in a way that continues to preserve margins."

Still, the recent declines were somewhat worrisome given that the final five trading days of the year, and the first two of the next, are a seasonally rewarding stretch — often referred to as the "Santa Claus" rally — that usually gives stocks one last push toward year-end.

The recent profit-taking could also foreshadow some of the volatility ahead. Strategists surveyed by CNBC expect the S&P 500 could post yet another double-digit advance in 2026, but many worry stocks could spend much of the year range-bound as corporate earnings growth catches up to lofty multiples.

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S&P 500, YTD performance

Artificial intelligence has been the defining force driving the market for the last three years. In 2023, the S&P 500 surged 24%, after the debut of ChatGPT the prior year unleashed a fervor around the companies most likely to benefit from a technological revolution that harkens back to the dawn of the internet. In 2024, the broad market index rallied another 23%.

The AI narrative fractured somewhat this year, as the rally started to broaden out to other sectors, and even performance among the so-called Magnificent Seven stocks bifurcated. Alphabet was the big winner among the megacaps, up 65.4% year to date, as investors bet the search giant could edge out OpenAI. Amazon was the laggard, gaining 5.2%.

What's more, many asset classes outside the megacaps started to outperform. Commodities had an especially good year, with gold up more than 64%, and silver higher by more than 141%.

"We've seen internals change in a way that indicates us that 2026 could ... look very different than 2025, even more so than 2023 and 2024," Buchanan said. "[The market] is going to be driven more by fundamentals that are less dependent on monetary policy and AI infrastructure buildout."

The Dow closed out a winning December, up 0.7%, and notched its eighth winning month in a row — the first such streak going back to 2018. The S&P 500 ended the month down less than 0.1%, and the Nasdaq was off 0.5% for the period.

— CNBC's Alex Harring and Chris Hayes contributed to this report.

Stocks close lower in final session of 2025

The three major averages finished the last trading day of the year in the red.

The S&P 500 fell 0.74% to end the session at 6,845.50, while the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.76% to 23,241.99. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 303.77 points, or 0.63%, to 48,063.29.

— Sean Conlon

Out with a whimper (again), but an exceptional run continues for stocks

Traders Michael Pistillo and Peter Tuchman wear "2026" glasses as they work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at the opening bell in New York on December 31, 2025.
Timothy A. Clary | Afp | Getty Images

For the second year in a row – the S&P 500 is closing out the year with a four-day losing streak, putting the so-called Santa Claus Rally in jeopardy again. According to the Stock Trader's Almanac, the stock market has a tendency to rise during the final five trading days of the outgoing year and the first two days of the new year.

But despite the downbeat end to this month, the S&P 500 is still poised for its eighth straight month of gains. This run surpasses the seven-month win streak in 2021 and is now the longest monthly winning streak in just about eight years. The S&P 500 saw a run of ten straight months of gains from April 2017-January 2018.

These types of very impressive runs don't happen often. This would be just the seventh time since 1965 that the S&P 500 has logged a win streak of eight or more months – or the eleventh such streak since 1950.

Meanwhile, this is the third consecutive year of solid gains. The S&P 500 rallied 24% in 2023, 23% in 2024 and 16% in 2025. That amounts to an almost 80% gain over three years. That is the strongest return over a three-year win streak since 2019-2021 when the index soared 90%. It is also the second best three-year win streak since 2000. Looking ahead to 2026 – the S&P 500 hasn't strung together four straight years of gains since the five-year streak of 2003-2007. (A reminder that the S&P 500 just barely missed a six-year win streak in 2009-2014 due to a miniscule 0.04 point decline in 2011.)

This also marks the eighth quarterly gain in nine or the eleventh quarterly gain in thirteen for the S&P 500 – another sign of the exemplary run the markets have had over the last three years.

— Robert Hum

S&P 500 tends to slide on last trading day of year, recent market history shows

There's some precedent for if the market ends 2025 on a sour note.

The S&P 500 has finished the last trading day of the year in the red over the last four years, according to Bespoke Investment Group.

Over the last 25 years, the index has ended the day positively just 32% of the time108246889, Bespoke found. The median final trading day in this period has seen a slide of nearly 0.3%.

— Alex Harring

Who is going to run Berkshire’s $300 billion equity portfolio?

Warren Buffett speaks during the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting in Omaha, Nebraska on May 3, 2025.
CNBC

As Berkshire Hathaway marks Warren Buffett's official retirement Wednesday, attention is shifting to a less settled part of the succession plan: the fate of its $300 billion equity portfolio.

For decades, Berkshire's stock holdings have reflected Buffett's long-term investing judgment and his willingness to deploy capital aggressively during market turmoil. With no obvious successor possessing a comparable record in public equities, some analysts say Berkshire may ultimately scale back active stock selection, particularly given the size and concentration of the portfolio.

"At some point the shoes are just too big to fill," said Deiya Pernas, an analyst at Pernas Research. "He's made some enormously large and tactical decisions. I don't think that there's going to be somebody who's going to be able to make those types of decisions." Read more.

— Yun Li

Stocks making the biggest moves midday

Check out the companies making the biggest moves midday:

  • Nike – Shares of the sneaker giant rose around 4% after board members Tim Cook and Robert Holmes Swan, as well as Nike CEO Elliott Hill, increased their stakes, Verity data shows. The action comes as Nike wraps up a tough year.
  • Corcept Therapeutics – Shares plummeted 50% after the U.S. Food and Drug Administration did not approve of Corcept's drug relacorilant as a treatment for patients with hypercortisolism. The FDA decided it couldn't reach a favorable benefit-risk assessment for the drug without the company providing further evidence of effectiveness.
  • Molina Healthcare — The insurer rose 2.7%, putting it on track for its fourth straight positive session and up 6.3% for the week. Molina got a boost this week after famed investor Michael Burry highlighted the company in a Substack post.

Read more here.

— Fred Imbert

Gold and Silver head for best years since 1979

Silver bars appear in a photo illustration as silver prices move amid shifting industrial demand and global market volatility in Brussels, Belgium, on December 24, 2025.
Jonathan Raa | Nurphoto | Getty Images

2025 was a stellar year for precious metals, with gold and silver headed for their best year going all the way back to the 1970s.

Gold surged 64% in 2025, on track for its best performance since 1979 when it gained 113.61%. The yellow metal is on pace for its third positive year in a row, a first since its 12-year winning streak ending in 2012.

Silver is up 144% year to date, on pace for its best year going back to 1979 when it had surged 468.48%.

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Silver futures, YTD performance

— Sarah Min, Chris Hayes

How retail investors beat Wall Street at their own game this year

Retail investors have had a gangbuster year in 2025.

Mom-and-pop investors bought the dip at key points this year, providing strong returns as the market climbed to all-time highs. Once thought of as unsophisticated and easily duped, a new breed of retail investor is giving the professionals who have long dismissed them a run for their money, according to investors and market data analysts interviewed by CNBC.

"Retail is just getting smarter, and they're getting hardened to the market," said Mark Malek, investing chief at Siebert Financial. In other words: These investors "really are growing up." Read more.

— Alex Harring

Nike rises as insiders buy shares

Nike shoes are seen in the King of Prussia Mall in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania, on April 3, 2025.
Rachel Wisniewski | Reuters

Nike shares rose around 2% in Wednesday morning trading following a flurry of insider dip-buying.

Board members Tim Cook and Robert Holmes Swan, as well as Nike CEO Elliott Hill, increased their stakes, Verity data shows. The action comes as Nike wraps up a tough year: Shares have dropped more than 17% in 2025, on track for their fourth straight losing year.

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Nike, 1-day

— Alex Harring

Stocks open little changed

The three major averages began the final trading session of the year little changed.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite traded just above the flatline shortly after 9:30 a.m. ET, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average was just below the flatline.

— Sean Conlon

Intel, Taiwan Semi among the names making premarket moves

Check out the companies making headlines before the bell:

  • Intel — The technology stock rose 1%. Earlier this week, Nvidia completed its $5 billion equity investment in Intel.
  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing — Shares ticked up 1% after Reuters reported that Nvidia asked the semiconductor firm to boost its H200 production in response to Chinese orders exceeding two million units for 2026.

Read here for the full list.

— Liz Napolitano

Jobless claims fell to well below expectations

Initial jobless claims fell to 199,000 for the week ending December 27
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Initial jobless claims fell to 199,000 for the week ending December 27

Layoffs tailed lower into the end of the year despite worries about weakness in the jobs market, the Labor Department reported Wednesday.

Initial jobless claims totaled a seasonally adjusted 199,000 for the week ended Dec. 27, down 16,000 from the prior week's level and below the Dow Jones consensus forecast for 220,000.

The reading was consistent with figures throughout the month and reflected the current low-hire low-fire environment. Claims started December at 237,000 and declined each week thereafter. Increases in Michigan and New Jersey were offset by large drops in Texas and California, according to unadjusted numbers.

Similarly, continuing claims, which run a week behind, fell 47,000 to 1.87 million.

— Jeff Cox

Alphabet shares could also have a great 2026, Citizens says

Double exposure photograph of Google chief executive Sundar Pichai and the company logo at Kerlouan in Brittany in France on June 07 2025.
Vincent Feuray | Afp | Getty Images

The momentum in Alphabet shares is set to continue in 2026, according to Citizens.

Analyst Andrew Boone, who has a buy rating on the Google parent, raised his price target on the stock to $385 from $340. The new forecast implies upside of 22.7% from Tuesday's close.

Boone's change comes as Alphabet get set to close a strong 2025. The stock is up 65.8% for the year, making it the best-performing member of the "Magnificent Seven."

CNBC Pro subscribers can read more here.

— Fred Imbert

Where the major averages stand going into the final session of 2025

A holiday snowman is displayed as traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at the opening bell in New York on December 3, 2025.
Timothy A. Clary | Afp | Getty Images

The three leading U.S. indexes are on track to post double-digit gains for 2025 as the opening bell of the final trading day of the year draws near. Here's the year-to-date performance of each:

The small-cap Russell 2000 index is slated to record a double-digit rise as well, having climbed 12.1% this year.

— Sean Conlon

Goldman Sachs says adding new locations will be key to restaurant sales growth

A Wendy's restaurant sign is seen on Nov. 10, 2025 in Austin, Texas.
Brandon Bell | Getty Images

2025 was another tough year for restaurants as consumers have been pummeled by inflation and have cutback on dining out. Some restaurant chains were forced to close underperforming locations such as Starbucks, Wendy's and Denny's.

Goldman Sachs analyst Christine Cho recently laid out her outlook for the sector in 2026 and said she anticipates a more "nuanced backdrop." When picking stocks in the group, Cho outlined some of the criteria investors should watch, including companies taking market share, like McDonald's, Domino's and Brinker, or companies making progress on turnarounds (Chipotle or Restaurant Brands) or driving unit growth (Wingstop or Yum Brands).

"With [same-store sales growth] constrained by macro pressure and value competition, unit growth is set to play a more prominent role in driving restaurant top-line growth in 2026 and onwards," Cho wrote. "We continue to prefer highly-franchised, asset-light models and/or concepts offering strong unit economics and fast payback periods."

All of the stocks Cho mentioned underperformed the S&P 500 this year. However, Taco Bell-parent Yum Brands, with a year-to-date gain of 13%, and Chili's owner Brinker, with a roughly 8% pop, were the strongest performers.

— Christina Cheddar Berk

Where these assets stand heading into year end

As of Tuesday's close, here's where these assets stand heading into year end.

  • Gold is up 66.1%
  • Silver is up 166.5%
  • WTI crude oil is down 19.2%
  • Bitcoin is down 5.8%

— Alex Harring, Chris Hayes

Stock futures open little changed

U.S. stock futures opened little changed Tuesday night, ahead of the last day of 2025.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose by 42 points, or 0.09%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.05% and 0.04%, respectively.

— Sarah Min