Share

Stocks close higher as bank credit worries, China trade tensions ease

Traders work at the New York Stock Exchange on Oct. 1, 2025.
NYSE

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose Friday as traders digested the U.S.' softening tone on its trade talks with China and tried to move past credit concerns that sparked a big sell-off in regional banks Thursday.

The Dow finished 238.37 points, or 0.52%, higher at 46,190.61. The S&P 500 settled up 0.53% at 6,664.01, while the Nasdaq Composite added 0.52% to finish at 22,679.98.

Stocks extended their gains in afternoon trading after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he would be speaking with his Chinese trade counterpart Friday evening. Trump also said from the White House that a meeting with China President Xi Jinping was still likely at the end of the month. The comments suggested the threat of 100% additional tariffs against China on Nov. 1 might not come to pass.

"The positive sentiment this afternoon has a lot to do with President Trump's comments about China ... that he understands the tariff threat posed was not sustainable," Ross Mayfield, an investment strategist at Baird, told CNBC. "I'm sure there will be ups and downs in these negotiations, but I think [Trump's announcement] sets a baseline that the administration doesn't want to see a repeat of a Liberation Day-type sell-off."

Shares of companies that led Thursday's bank rout rebounded Friday, as traders bet any bad credit bets were one-offs and not part of a bigger crisis. Zions and Western Alliance disclosed bad loans over the last 48 hours, which sparked a big sell-off in the stocks that eventually dragged down the whole market Thursday. Zion lost 13%, while Western Alliance tanked by 11% Thursday.

But Zions Bancorp climbed nearly 6% on Friday after receiving an upgrade from Baird, which said the drop in market value for the regional bank was out of proportion to the size of loan losses it was potentially facing. Investment bank Jefferies, caught in the storm for its exposure to bankrupt auto parts retailer First Brands, closed up 6% after Oppenheimer raised its rating to outperform. Jefferies was down 11% Thursday.

Better-than-expected earnings Friday from Fifth Third Bancorp also assuaged worries, sending the stock higher by 1.3%. The bank's profit jumped last quarter even after posting an increase in credit losses tied to exposure to bankrupt subprime auto lender Tricolor.

The Dow lost 300 points and the S&P 500 shed 0.6% on Thursday, fueled by the significant decline in bank stocks late in the afternoon. The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE), which was down for four straight weeks, lost more than 6% during the session. Uneasiness in the banking sector has grown after the recent bankruptcies of those two auto industry-related companies: Tricolor and First Brands.

The regional bank ETF closed 1.6% higher on Friday, although it ended the week 1.9% lower.

"We don't think there are systemic credit problems for banks – most of what we're seeing so far is a function of a few specific situations (First Brands and TriColor) while credit quality broadly if anything is tracking better than anticipated," wrote Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge in a note.

Thursday saw a jump in the Cboe Volatility Index, commonly referred to as Wall Street's fear gauge, alongside moves lower in Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar as investors went into safe havens and looked for hedges in the options market. The VIX moved steadily lower Friday as stocks bounced, signaling easing fears. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury rose back above 4%.

Despite the recent volatility, all three major indexes finished the week higher. The S&P 500 rose 1.7% fueled by a strong start to the third-quarter earnings. The Dow added 1.6% week to date, while the Nasdaq gained 2.1% over the same period.

Stocks close up on Friday

The Dow finished 238.37 points, or 0.52% higher at 46,190.61. The S&P 500 settled up 0.53% at 6,664.01, while the Nasdaq Composite added 0.52% to finish at 22,679.98.

— Liz Napolitano

American Express aids Dow's rally

The Dow's Friday rally is due in large part to American Express.

The blue-chip average gained around 300 points in afternoon trading. More than 140 of those were added by the financial stock, whose shares rallied more than 7%.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon
hide content
Dow, 1-day

American Express' jump came after the company reported better-than-expected earnings for the third quarter. American Express earned $4.14 per share on $18.43 billion in the quarter, while analysts polled by FactSet anticipated $4 a share and $18.05 billion.

— Alex Harring

Oracle losses put stock on pace for its worst day since January

Shares of Oracle dropped more than 7% on Friday, putting the stock on track for its worst day since January 27. The hot cloud infrastructure stock, which has struck several deals with companies including OpenAI and AMD, has skyrocketed in recent weeks but slumped late Thursday after the company announced its longer-term financial outlook.

The stock is up 74.5% this year.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon
hide content
Oracle stock performance over the past year.

— Pia Singh

Charles Schwab portfolio manager Joe Mazzola says consumer discretionary is among sectors with high retail interest

Charles Schwab portfolio manager Joe Mazzola told CNBC on Friday that the firm is seeing high retail interest across energy, communication services, consumer discretionary and health care sectors.

"We've seen some big inflows" into names in these sectors, Mazzola said.

Schwab clients are also buying stocks "on the dip," he said, citing Tesla and Amazon as examples. Tesla is up over 8% year to date, while Amazon is down 3%.

"While they've had some run ups," Mazzola said, "they've also kind of pulled back a little bit, and that's where we tend to see our clients buy."

Even as retail flows are up, Mazzola says that institutions are hedging. "Institutions are really protecting some of that downside, while we're seeing a little bit more of that upside bias with the retail."

He pointed to recent moves in the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX). On Friday, the VIX briefly topped 28 and hit its highest level since April.

— Itzel Franco

Stocks making big moves midday

Avishek Das | SOPA Images | Lightrocket | Getty Images

AppFolio — The cloud-based business software provider climbed 7% after an upgrade to overweight from equal weight at KeyBanc, with a 12-month price target of $285, according to FactSet's StreetAccount service.

AST SpaceMobile — Shares in the space-based broadband cellular network dropped 6% after more than doubling in the past month. Barclays double downgraded its investment rating to underweight from overweight while leaving its price target at $60, StreetAccount said.

Revolution Medicines — The late-stage clinical oncology company jumped 10% after saying the Food and Drug Administration granted a voucher for daraxonrasib (RMC-6236), a multi-selective inhibitor, under the National Priority Voucher pilot program. Daraxonrasib is aimed at treating patients with metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma and metastatic non-small cell lung cancer patients.

Read more here.

— Scott Schnipper

Barclays downgrades AST SpaceMobile on 'excessive' valuation

Barclays is leaving the bull camp on AST SpaceMobile, citing technicals.

Analyst Mathieu Robilliard downgraded the space technology stock to underweight from overweight. Robilliard's $60 price target implies 33% downside from Thursday's close.

"Valuation ... has become excessive in our view," Robilliard wrote to clients in a Friday note.

AST announced a deal earlier this month with Verizon to provide cellular service from space beginning next year. Despite a slide of more than 5% on Friday, shares of AST have surged more than 70% in October.

"AST has some unique features," Robilliard wrote. But, "valuation has run ahead of fundamentals."

— Alex Harring

UBS upgrade global equities

UBS upgraded global equities on Friday, citing several factors that could push stocks higher.

The investment firm raised its rating for global equities to attractive.

"Although the equity bull market is now entering its fourth year, we believe it has further to run," UBS analysts said Friday in a note to clients.

They cited favorable U.S. growth and policy outlooks, in addition to accelerating momentum in AI adoption, as catalysts that could push global equities higher.

— Liz Napolitano

Jobless claims declined last week, according to Goldman estimate

Reuben Granger (L) and other job seekers speak with Nicole Bonilla (R), a recruiter for Margaritaville Beach Resort, during the Mega JobNewsUSA South Florida Job Fair held in the Amerant Bank Arena on Sept. 25, 2025 in Sunrise, Florida.
Joe Raedle | Getty Images

Layoffs at U.S. companies probably eased last week, according to data compiled by Goldman Sachs.

The Wall Street firm's economists estimate that initial weekly jobless claims fell to about 217,000 for the week ending Oct. 11. That's down from the previous week's 234,000 and below the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 230,000.

Goldman compiled the estimate using state-level data submitted each week to the Labor Department, which is not compiling a nationwide estimate during the government shutdown. Continuing claims, which run a week behind were little changed at 1.92 million, the firm said.

—Jeff Cox

Niles: Regional bank concerns won't turn out to be 'systemic'

Dan Niles doesn't think current concerns around regional banking will escalate into crises like what was seen in 2023 or 2008.

"Yes, we've had a lot of 'cockroaches,'" the Niles Investment Management founder said Friday morning on CNBC's "Squawk on the Street," referencing JPMorgan CEO's Jamie Dimon's comments on auto company bankruptcies from earlier this week.

"You have some issues with fraud. 100%. Are there probably more? Definitely," Niles said. But, "I don't think this is going to turn out to be something systemic like you saw in March of '23 or, obviously, when Lehman Brothers failed."

— Alex Harring

BofA says Trump's IVF efforts may have 'nuanced' impact on Progyny stock, shares fall 13%

On Thursday, the Trump administration announced efforts to expand access to in vitro fertilization. Use of the procedure has been limited in the past by its high cost and the fact that it may not be covered by some health insurance plans.

Shares of Progyny, a fertility benefits provider, were down 13% on Friday morning as traders assess the impact of this news.

Bank of America analyst Allen Lutz told clients in a research note that the president's efforts are an "incremental positive for Progyny, but the actual impact may be more nuanced."

One issue is the details of the proposal are limited, and it remains to be seen if efforts to bring down the cost of the procedure, will be met with an increase in the volume of procedures performed and demand for coverage of it.

"Given Progyny is market leader with broad geographic coverage, the company appears well positioned to capture upside if there is in fact a benefit to coverage and utilization," Lutz said, as he maintained his buy rating on the stock.

—Christina Cheddar Berk

Moody's analyst sees little sign of credit problems in banking

The U.S. banking system remains sound in the face of recent worries over bad loans hitting the balance sheets of some regional lenders, a Moody's analyst told CNBC.

Marc Pinto, the ratings agency's head of global private credit, said there are few signs of credit contagion that might fuel a larger problem like the 2008 financial crisis.

"When we dig deeper here and look to see if there's a turn in the credit cycle, which is effectively what the market seems to be focusing on, we can find no evidence," Pinto said.

"One cockroach does not a trend make," he added, referencing JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon's observation that "when you see one cockroach, there are probably more."

Regional bank stocks were largely positive Friday, with a popular ETF that tracks the industry up 1.5% in early trading.

—Jeff Cox

UBS upgrades agricultural machinery manufacturer Deere to buy rating

Brand new John Deere equipment is displayed at a John Deere dealership on August 26, 2025 in Santa Rosa, California.
Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

On Friday, UBS upgraded shares of agricultural machinery manufacturer Deere to a buy rating from neutral.

UBS analyst Steven Fisher accompanied the move by lifting his 12-month price target to $545 per share from $535. This revised forecast implies a 19% upside ahead.

Shares of Deere have popped 8% this year. The stock was last trading marginally higher on Friday.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon
hide content
DE YTD chart

As a catalyst for the upgrade, Fisher pointed to an inflection in earnings ahead for shares of Deere.

"We upgrade DE to Buy from Neutral, as we expect '26 to be the last year of DE's earnings downturn before a recovery in '27. We believe Ag fundamentals & sentiment are near the bottom, and while it may be a bit early for the stock today based on elevated expectations for '26, we think a positive inflection in the cycle & DE earnings should begin to be priced in over the next year," he wrote.

— Lisa Kailai Han

Dow trading relatively flat Friday

A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at the opening bell in New York on October 13, 2025.
Timothy A. Clary | Afp | Getty Images

The Dow traded 14 points higher, or less than 0.1%. The S&P 500 shed 0.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.4%.

— Liz Napolitano

VIX tops 27

Fear permeated through Wall Street again on Friday, with the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) topping 27 for the first time since April.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon
hide content
VIX year to date

— Fred Imbert

Concerns over bad loans spill into European markets

City of London skyline with 20 Fenchurch Street, affectionately nicknamed the Walkie Talkie, in London, United Kingdom.
Mike Kemp | In Pictures | Getty Images

European equities were firmly in negative territory on Friday, as credit concerns arising from the U.S. spilled across the Atlantic. The European Stoxx Banks Index was almost 3% lower in early trade, with Spanish lender Sabadell, Germany's Deutsche Bank and Britain's Barclays among the worst performers in the region.

— Chloe Taylor

Novo Nordisk, Interactive Brokers, CSX among stocks moving in after-hours trading

Check out some of the companies making headlines after Thursday's market close:

  • CSX Corporation — Shares of the railroad jumped 2% on the back of its strong quarterly results. CSX reported adjusted earnings of 44 cents per share on revenue of $3.59 billion for its third quarter, just beating analysts' earnings expectations of 42 cents per share on $3.58 billion in revenue, per LSEG. Declining coal prices and merchandise volume led to slightly lower revenue during the period.
  • Interactive Brokers Group — The stock fell nearly 3% despite reporting a beat on top and bottom lines. The company's adjusted earnings of 57 cents per share exceeded analysts' forecast of 54 cents per share, according to LSEG. Its revenue of $1.61 billion also came out higher than the $1.52 billion analysts had called for. The global electronic broker reported a 21% jump in net interest income to $967 million on stronger securities lending, higher average customer margin loans and credit balances.
  • Oracle — Shares of the cloud infrastructure provider fell 2.4% in after-hours trading after it provided analysts its long-term financial outlook. Oracle expects its revenue will rise at a 31% compound annual growth rate over the next five years. Oracle, which rose 3% on Thursday, said during its AI World conference in Las Vegas that its core database and data platform business will grow and also announced a cloud computing deal with Meta.

For the full list, read here.

— Pia Singh

U.S. stock futures open little changed

Shortly after 6 p.m. ET on Thursday, futures tied to the S&P 500 edged lower by nearly 0.1%. Nasdaq-100 futures and futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average each hovered just above the flatline.

— Pia Singh