The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped Monday to kick off the second quarter, with traders weighing fresh U.S. inflation data amid fears the market rally could slow down.
The 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 240.52 points, or 0.6%, and settled at 39,566.85. The S&P 500 dipped 0.2% to close at 5,243.77. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, on the other hand, added 0.11% to finish at 16,396.83.
Investors remain cautious about the pace of the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting timeline this year and how soon central bankers will be able to meet their 2% inflation target. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Friday that economic growth remains strong and inflation is still above target.
"That means we don't need to be in a hurry to cut," the central bank chief told public radio's "Marketplace" program. "The economy is strong right now, and the labor market is strong right now. And inflation has been coming down. We can and we will be careful about this decision because we can be." Indeed, fed funds futures data suggests a 58% probability that the central bank will cut rates at its June meeting, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Treasury yields rose Monday as investors considered Powell's earlier remarks and a key inflation reading. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield was last up nearly 13 basis points at 4.319%.
Traders reacted to the personal consumption expenditures price index, released during the market's closure for Good Friday. Core PCE, which excludes food and energy, showed inflation rose 2.8% on a 12-month basis in February, in line with expectations. On a monthly basis, the measure was up 0.3% from a month ago, the Commerce Department said.
The major averages are coming off a winning first quarter. The S&P 500 jumped 10.2% for its best first-quarter performance since 2019, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 5.6%. The Nasdaq Composite popped 9.1%.
Wall Street also wrapped up a winning March, extending its rally to a fifth straight month. Those monthly and quarterly gains brought the Dow to within striking distance of 40,000. However, Monday's decline pulled it away from the milestone level.
"The market is overbought by any measure," said Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist at LPL Financial. "At some point, we will see a pullback, and then at that point, you'll start to hear the bears come out again suggesting that it's deeper than just a healthy correction."
"The market needs a correction in order to start seeing more money come in from money market accounts and to feel more constructive," Krosby added.
Correction: The S&P 500 had its best first-quarter performance since 2019. A previous version misstated the milestone.